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How Do We Finish?

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Goose, Feb 16, 2012.

?

How do the Buffs finish these last five games?

  1. 5-0

    5 vote(s)
    6.8%
  2. 4-1

    27 vote(s)
    36.5%
  3. 3-2

    37 vote(s)
    50.0%
  4. 2-3

    4 vote(s)
    5.4%
  5. 1-4

    1 vote(s)
    1.4%
  6. 0-5

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    The Buffs have five games left. They're one game back in the standings. So how will they finish the season?

    February 18th, 2011 @ Utah
    KenPom:
    CU 90% chance of winning
    Record: 5-20 (2-11)
    KenPom Ranking: 304
    RPI: 275

    February 23rd, 2011 vs Stanford
    KenPom:
    CU 58% chance of winning
    Record: 17-8 (7-6)
    KenPom Ranking: 57
    RPI: 104

    February 26th, 2011 vs California
    KenPom:
    CU 34% chance of winning
    Record: 20-6 (10-3)
    KenPom Ranking: 16
    RPI: 36

    March 1st, 2011 @ Oregon
    KenPom:
    CU 39% chance of winning
    Record: 18-7 (9-4)
    KenPom Ranking: 89
    RPI: 68

    March 3rd, 2011 @ Oregon State
    KenPom:
    CU 39% chance of winning
    Record: 15-10 (5-8)
    KenPom Ranking: 91
    RPI: 146
     
  2. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    I say 3-2. Lose to Oregon on the road and Cal at home.
     
  3. GoBuffs08

    GoBuffs08 Well-Known Member

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    4-1 or any shot at an invite is gone.
     
  4. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    4-1.


    Givin Bitches Wet Willies
     
  5. CUFan

    CUFan Welcome back Club Member

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    3-2. Beat Utah and lose one of the home games and one of the other away.
     
  6. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    3-2. Oregon in Eugene is a lost cause. Probably split between Cal and OSU.
     
  7. BuffTuba

    BuffTuba Club Member Club Member

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    I'm being optimistic and going with 4-1. I think we only lose one on the road (seems to be the pattern these days). I think that we can beat CAL and Stanford at home. We were in both games until the last 10 minutes. I was at the CAL game and the team really fed off the energy we gave them but unfortunately it just wasn't enough. We were overtaken by the CAL fans near the end of the game.
     
  8. Buffalo Brad

    Buffalo Brad Club Member Club Member

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    I went with 4-1 but could easily see the 3-2 split. I think we clean the glass with wins at home and take Utah and OSU on the road.
     
  9. pachoops

    pachoops PacHoops Blogger

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    I voted 3-2 but 4-1 is not out of the realm of possibilities. Neither is 2-3 but let's talk 4-1. Holding court at home has become a staple of Boyle Ball, as is toughness which I dig. I like one final homestand, gutting it out for the seniors followed by the best possible timing of the Buffs' first big road win.
     
  10. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    5-0 is necessary to go dancing.
     
  11. torerobuff

    torerobuff Dancing is forbidden Club Member

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    I say 4-1, with the loss coming at Oregon. 3-2 is definitely a possibility if we drop one to Cal at home. I don't see how we can lose @ Oregon St, we are just a superior team as has been proven with blowing them out the last two times we've played them.
     
  12. CarolinaBuff

    CarolinaBuff Weekend Poster Club Member

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    I think it's too early to say that we need to go 5-0. If we go 4-1 and win 2 games in the conference tourney then I love our chances of getting in.
     
  13. Goose

    Goose Hoops Moderator Club Member Junta Member

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    Honestly, I think even with 5-0 we're on the outside looking in. Our resume isn't strong enough.
     
  14. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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  15. sackman

    sackman Club Member Club Member

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    I can't tell if this is some kind of double secret reverse psychology jedi mind trick or not.
     
  16. Daaah

    Daaah Club Member Club Member

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  17. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    boothisman.jpg
     
  18. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    not a bad guess.
     
  19. pachoops

    pachoops PacHoops Blogger

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    5-0 likely means the Buffs win the regular season title and I just don't think - with all the politics amongst the major conferences - the committee will keep the Regular Season champ of one of those conferences out of the dance. It'd be a disaster and I have to imagine Larry Scott has some pull around the country.
     
  20. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Yup. 5-0 isn't going to happen, but since we're talking about it, there's no way CU could be kept out if they finished 5-0, and thus 22-8 (14-4). The Buffs would be conference champs, would have added a top 40 win over Cal and a top 75 road win over Oregon to their resume. Perhaps most importantly, they would have finished extremely strong, when most bubble teams falter (see: current situation already taking place in B1G).
     
  21. SkiTownUSA

    SkiTownUSA Administrator Club Member Junta Member

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    Snow just trys hard to be honest with himself to avoid letdown, but is always bordering being a negative Nancy.
     
  22. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Hey man, we only have the odds in favor of us winning 2 out of five games. And one of them is closer than any of the odds saying we are gonna lose. Soooo ya, 2-3 and 1-4 are more likely than the positive results. Plus, this team still doesn't believe it can win a tough road game.
     
  23. RumblinBuff

    RumblinBuff That one blogging guy Club Member

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    I try to be honest with myself too, but you don't see my flirting with 1-4. He's just in a foul mood 'cause I whupped him on NCAA last night.
     
  24. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Whupped? Only if you take the aggregate score :lol:. Want a non-league rematch sometime?
     
  25. SkiTownUSA

    SkiTownUSA Administrator Club Member Junta Member

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    The correct answer is 3-2. You pick 2-3 with your borderline negative attitude and the borderline sunshine pumpers are going with 4-1. The answer lies in the middle. 3-2!
     
  26. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    3-2 IS the mild sunshine pumping answer. 4-1 is the ridiculous sunshine pumping answer. 2-3 is the Kenpom answer, and what my gut says we do. 1-4 is the negative nancy answer that happens to be more likely than either sunshiney answer.
     
  27. RK

    RK UBL Club Member

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    Wtf is wrong with you people. Were going 5-0 and I expect to be repped generously for being the only one to vote that in the poll when we do it.
     
  28. Darth Snow

    Darth Snow Hawaiian Buffalo Club Member Junta Member

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    Neg rep planned. Will buy beer in recompense. If we go 5-0, I will buy the dark horse crew a round of shots.
     
  29. sackman

    sackman Club Member Club Member

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    KenPom has been pretty wrong about the Buffs for most of the year. I seem to recall he predicted losses at home to Arizona, Washington and Oregon and I think he even predicted a CU loss at USC. He may be pretty good when it comes to other schools, but he's been off the mark with regards to CU.
     
  30. BehindEnemyLines

    BehindEnemyLines beware the habu Club Member

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    4 - 1, with the only loss a being a head-scratcher at oregano state.


    The duckies are less than stellar on their bizarre home court, and the Yoots just aren't very good -- 2 road wins. The Buffs want revenge against da Bars and 'furd, and are playing in the Keg -- 2 home wins. That leaves it to beaver; they like to press a lot and cause turnovers/easy buckets. This plays to 2 weaknesses -- 1. Nate's ballhandling and decisions under pressure, and 2. Other ball handlers are young and prone to mistakes. I think the beav's sneak away with a close win.

    (About the player references above -- not knocking or attacking anyone. It's just what I've seen so far this year.)
     

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