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My annual college football season forecast (in a pickle with Big 12 champ)

Discussion in 'Colorado Football Message Board' started by Unleash Hell, Jun 12, 2012.

  1. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    I went through all the BCS conferences, plus the MWC and did week by week predictions. I came across a 3 way tie with the Big 12 champ and will need opinions on who takes the honors of the official conference champion.

    If you have any questions on someone’s record or conference rankings, just ask. All I did was go through the conferences I really give a **** about and go through and write who I think the winners of each game throughout the season are. I do this every year. As you can see there is only one unbeaten team (USC) and seven one loss teams creating yet another end of season controversy.
    Here are my final rankings and quick briefings on each conference.


    SEC
    Starting with the SEC West, Bama and LSU figure to be the favorites in the west. LSU gets stunned with their only loss of the year in an upset at Auburn during their conference opener. Bama gets their unbeaten season ended by LSU in a national title game rematch in Baton Rouge. Mississippi State is coming off a couple winning seasons, and with a favorable schedule for SEC standards, has a solid ten win season. Auburn will have a dissapointing 0-2 start to the season with losses to Clemson and Miss st, however the Tigers rebound by going on a 9 game winning streak before losing the finale to Bama. Texas A&M struggles in the first season in their new conference. Arkansas, while having one of the best QB's in the game will take a step back this year with a new coach.
    1. LSU 11-1,7-1
    2. Alabama 11-1, 7-1
    3. Mississippi St. 10-2, 6-2
    4. Auburn 9-3,6-2
    5. Texas A&M 6-6, 2-6
    6. Arkansas 6-6, 2-6
    7. Mississippi 4-7,1-7


    The SEC East should be stronger this year in the top half of the division. South Carolina and Georgia should be the top dogs in the division with an improved Florida not far behind. Missouri adds some good competition as well. The bottom half of Vanderbilt, Tennessee and Kentucky look to have losing records.
    1. South Carolina 11-1, 7-1
    2. Georgia 10-2, -2
    3. Florida 8-4, 5-3
    4. Missouri 8-4, 4-4
    5. Vanderbilt 4-8, 2-6
    6. Tennessee 5-7, 1-7
    7. Kentucky 3-9, 0-8


    Pac-12
    In the South, USC looks primed for a national title run with the return of QB Matt Barkley, the best WR unit in the country and a program now eligible to go to a bowl. SC is going to be very hard for anybody to beat this season. Utah and UCLA should be solid bowl teams, while the rest of the division in Colorado and the two Arizona schools will be lucky to go over .500.
    1. USC 12-0,9-0
    2. Utah 8-4,5-4
    3. UCLA 8-4
    4. Arizona 5-7,3-6
    5. Colorado 4-8,2-7
    6. Arizona St. 3-7,1-8

    The North looks to be the stronger division once again in the PAC. Oregon will be strong and loaded with speed once again. A big obstacle in USC appears to be the Ducks only big road block to a second trip to the BCS title game in 3 years. Stanford lost a lot of talent to the NFL including star QB Andrew Luck. The Cardinal will take a step back, but will still be a solid program. Look for Oregon State and Washington State to be better.

    1. Oregon 11-1,8-1
    2. Stanford 7-5,5-4
    3. Oregon State 6-6,5-4
    4. Washington State 6-6,4-5
    5. CAL 6-6,4-5
    6. Washington 5-7,3-6

    Big 12
    This is the conference I am stuck as to who will represent the conference in a BCS bowl as the conference champion. I have a 3-way split for 1[SUP]st[/SUP] place with Oklahoma, Texas and West Virginia all having the same overall and conference record. The problem lies with the tiebreakers. I have OU losing to Iowa State and West Virginia, UT losing to OU and Kansas State and WVU losing to Texas and Oklahoma St.
    After the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] place split, I have TCU, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Iowa State as solid middle of the pack programs. OSU and KSU will take a little step back from last year while Iowa State will be improved. Baylor takes a huge decline with the loss of Heisman winner RGIII and will fail to go to a bowl.
    1. Oklahoma 10-2, 7-2, West Virginia 10-2, 7-2, Texas 10-2, 7-2
    2. TCU 8-4, 6-3
    3. Kansas State 8-4, 5-4
    4. Oklahoma State 8-4, 5-4
    5. Iowa State 7-5, 5-4
    6. Texas Tech 6-7, 2-7
    7. Baylor 4-8, 1-8
    8. Kansas 3-9, 0-9

    Big Ten
    In the Leaders division, it won’t take long for Ohio State to be “back” as proven new HC Urban Meyer walks into a great situation. I see the division going to the winner of the Wisconsin/Ohio State game in late November. Both teams could come into the game undefeated. It would not surprise me to see Wisconsin repeat in the Leaders and beat OSU, but I am picking the Buckeyes to win a huge road game in Madison. The rest of the division does not look that great and I only see one other team with a winning record.
    1. Ohio State 11-1, 7-1
    2. Wisconsin 11-1, 7-1
    3. Illinois 7-5,4-4
    4. Purdue 5-7,2-6
    5. Penn St. 5-7,2-6
    6. Indiana 2-10,0-8

    The Big Ten Legends division looks much stronger overall and I wouldn’t be surprised if any of the three of Nebraska, Michigan or Michigan State take the title. Iowa and Northwestern look to be decent, and Minnesota has the schedule to make a run for a bowl game. I see the Huskers starting out conference play 0-2, but go on a 6 game win streak to take the title.

    1. Nebraska 9-3, 6-2
    2. Michigan 9-3, 6-2
    3. Michigan St. 9-3, 5-3
    4. Iowa 8-4,4-4
    5. Northwestern 7-5, 3-5
    6. Minnesota 6-6, 2-6

    ACC

    The Atlantic looks to be a really soft division with Clemson and Florida State really the only contenders. Both FSU and Clemson benefit from favorable schedules and either could make a surprise national title run at the end of the year. I am picking Clemson to run through their schedule unbeaten until the last game of the season against arch-rival South Carolina where the ****s will end the Tigers dream season.
    1. Clemson 11-1,8-0
    2. Florida State 10-2,6-2
    3. Maryland 5-7,3-5
    4. NC st. 4-8,2-6
    5. Wake Forest 4-8,2-6
    6. Boston College 3-9,1-7

    The Coastal division looks to be the better division in the ACC. I am picking North Carolina to finish the division #1, but the Tar Heels are ineligible for post season play and runner-up Virginia Tech will represent the division in the conference title game. One team that is primed for a big year is Virginia. The Cavaliers have improved each year under HC Mike London and that won’t change this year coming off an 8 win season.
    1. North Carolina 10-2,7-1
    2. Virginia Tech 10-2,6-2
    3. Virginia 10-2,6-2
    4. Miami, Fla 6-6,4-4
    5. Georgia Tech 6-6, 3-5
    6. Duke 3-9,0-8

    Big East
    I still think it’s a joke this conference is a AQ conference especially now with the departure of West Virginia. Don’t really have much to say, this conference bores me and pisses me off. I have more respect for the MWC. More than half the teams in this conference could win it.
    1. Cincinnati 10-2,6-1
    2. USF 7-5,5-2
    3. Pitt 7-5,4-3
    4. Rutgers 7-5,4-3
    5. Louisville 7-5,4-3
    6. UConn 3-7,2-5
    7. Temple 4-8,1-6


    MWC
    The #1 spot appears to be held for Boise State, but the top half looks to be fairly decent.
    1. Boise St. 10-2, 8-0
    2. Wyoming 9-3, 6-2
    3. Air Force 9-3,6-2
    4. Nevada 8-4,5-3
    5. San Diego St. 8-4,5-3
    6. Colorado St. 6-6, 4-4
    7. Hawai’i 5-7,3-5
    8. Fresno St. 5-7,2-6
    9. UNLV 2-11,1-7
    10. New Mexico 2-11, 0-8


    Major Independents
    Notre Dame 8-4

    BYU 8-4


    BCS bowl games
    BCS National title
    USC over LSU

    Rose Bowl
    Oregon over Ohio State

    Orange Bowl
    Clemson over Cincinnati

    Sugar Bowl
    Alabama over Wisconsin

    Fiesta Bowl
    South Carolina over Big 12 Champion
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2012
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  2. NashBuff

    NashBuff CSU Knob-Slobberer

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    There's no way TCU or WVU will win the Big 12 crown. Both schools have to adjust to increased competition and new teams. WVU lost to Sycrause last season...they have no idea how good Iowa State can be. Just look at Utah last season...their fans thought they were a lock for the South title until they realized that they went 4-5 in their first season which included a close win over WSU in Pullman and they didn't exactly blow Arizona out. The Big East is pretty much as weak as the MWC and there's no way any MWC or Big East tieam would have an easier time in the Big 12 than the Pac-12.
     
  3. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    TCU I agree on, not so much WVU. WVU has a fairly favorabale schedule and they are a solid program with a lot more history than programs like TCU and Utah. Baylor wont be near as good and they have them in Morgantown, Texas Tech is winnable, KSU is at home, RCU at home, @ OSU is a loss but winnable, they draw OU at home (we all know how outclassed the Sooners were the last time they played WVU), @ ISU and KU at home. I see no reason why WVU can't win 5-7 games in the conference. I can easily see the couch burners take home the Big 12.

    WVU is loaded at just about every unit, this will be a good team and one of the best offenses in the country.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2012
  4. zbuff

    zbuff Club Member Club Member

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    Texas will lose more than 2 games. FACT
     
  5. FLounder

    FLounder The Buffs will rise again! Club Member

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    I have Georgia over USCe. Wisconsin will lose 3 games. Michigan will beat Nub. And who do you have Boise losing too?
     
  6. buffaholic

    buffaholic Club Member Club Member

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    no way Nebraska is that good. Nor Wiscy or WVU.
     
  7. FLounder

    FLounder The Buffs will rise again! Club Member

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    Add North Carolina, and USCe to that list.
     
  8. buffaloflyer

    buffaloflyer Member

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    totally agree on ASU Scumdevils. They have a roster full of DE loose cannon thugs which will not mesh at all with Grahams style of coaching. Plus they have a history of tanking when there's the least bit of turmoil in the program. After a few losses the fanbase will desert the desert and SDS will be half full/half empty.
     
  9. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    I don't know, I thnk they are in for a big rebounding year. All depends on the QB spot though.

    Wisconsin might, but I like their OL plus Montee Ball. I don't think they lose much of a beat losing Wilson withat that line. I have Boise losing to Michigan State and Southern Miss.

    I might be off the mark on NC, disagree on USC though. That offense is going to be sick! SC lost two games last year, beat Oregon on the road (first duck home loss in 4 years). Return Barkley, Woods plus add stud George Farmer to the group.
     
  10. J.R. Ewing

    J.R. Ewing Club Member Club Member

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    Overrated Teams:
    Wyoming
    San Diego St
    Cinci
    Virginia
    Miss St
    Auburn

    Will make a bowl:
    NC State
    Purdue
    Tennessee

    Will Finish Higher:
    USF
    Rutgers
    Georgia Tech
    Stanford
    Florida
     
  11. Burrito Palazzo

    Burrito Palazzo huff my smug Club Member

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  12. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    ya, probably, I bet your picks would be wrong too
     
  13. InTheBuff

    InTheBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Wyo & AF won't be as good as you are predicting.
     
  14. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    UVA is entirely overrated. They're more likely to take a step back to ~6-6 this year and really break out in 2013.
     
  15. sweaty teets

    sweaty teets Club Member Club Member

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    USCe =/= USC
     
  16. leftybuff

    leftybuff Iconoclast Club Member

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    Arky will be much better than a .500 team....
     
  17. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    Wow, a lot of disagreement in here. We'll see, you guys probably know more than me
     
  18. BehindEnemyLines

    BehindEnemyLines beware the habu Club Member

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    Okie lite lost some guns from their offense last year (Weeden, Blackmon, Cooper, et al), but they return some pretty good WR, RB, and linemen. 8-4 may be their destiny, but it wouldn't surprise me if they contend for the BigInteger conference title this year. Their question mark will be at QB -- how fast can Gundy get another gunslinger ready and proficient?
     
  19. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    SEC

    I think you are pretty close. I don't see Mizzou having that much success though, they have lost a lot of talent over the past couple of years and are on the verge of sinking, being in the SEC won't help them in this situation.

    PAC

    I just don't see CU only winning 4 games. I think we get at least 5 and more likely 6. They are getting better than they have been but I think Wash St is going to dissapoint their fans. I also don't buy Utah, they will not get close to what you have them for. I hate to agree on USC but can't argue against that one. I wouldn't be surprised though to see Oregon stumble to a loss or two more than you have them for. They still have a ton of talent but again have turned over a lot of players and have some serious distractions going on in the program.

    Big XII

    OU wins it. Texas will figure out how to lose a couple games they shouldn't, WVU is making a big step up and will stumble as well. I also see TCU having a hard time, this isn't a MWC or Big East schedule now. The drop for Okie Light seems about right. I wouldn't be surprised to see the old man Snyder sneak his team up into second place in the conference. It's hard to tell with them but he always seems to come up with some jucos who stand out.

    Big 10

    I think you are pretty close here. I do think that Wiscy may take that division, Meyer is a great coach but may stumble in his first year just enough to leave it open. On the other side Nebraska should win it but Pelini is a nutjob and likely will figure out how to lose one or two he shouldn't. Michigan is loaded but this may be the Spartan's year.

    ACC

    I think you are right on the top teams. I think Maryland is still a very bad football team and will end up closer to the bottom. Also GT has lost a lot of talent but they will still beat a couple more teams than you give them because of their unorthodox style.

    Big East

    Who knows, who cares (other than their own fans) have no clue.

    MWC

    Boise a lock to win it in their (maybe) last season in the conference
    I think Nevada and Hawaii do better than your predictions, CSU has no hope of winning 6 games. They were a bad team to start with and have lost much of the talent they had left.

    Wyoming has some skill players but are very thin in the trenches, they have to stay healthy to have a shot. SDSU is a school that we are used to seeing not meet expectations. This year they may exceed them. AFA always loses a bunch of guys and always comes up with players to replace them, Calhoun is a master at running that program, second or third is a good bet for them this year.
     
  20. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    Excellent input, thanks.

    Does anybody know who would win the big 12 in my scenario though? I'm still curious about that.
     
  21. MtnBuff

    MtnBuff Not allowed in Barzil 2 Club Member

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    The league office would declare Texas the winner due to their sheer awesomness after which Texas would let them have their paychecks again.

    Actually I'm sure they have a tie breaker already in the rules someplace. I seem to remember in the last couple of years when they had the posibility of a tie that they said the BCS bowl bid would be determined by the BCS rankings but I could be wrong.
     
  22. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    Oh and I asked my Oregon cousin if he wanted to meet up in Vegas for the Pac-12 bball tourney. He said he might not be able to go because he is saving his money for the BCS title game. Man I hope the Ducks fail!

    :devil:
     
  23. UDub

    UDub Banned BANNED

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    Ohio State 11-1?
    Arkansas 6-6?
    Washington (who completely murdered your terrible team last year) 5-7?



    Terrible predictions.
     
  24. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    **** UW.

    And don't put too much stock into beating us last year, not tough when Jason Espinoza and DD Goodson anchor your secondary.
     
  25. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    Not sure I really buy this argument. We would still likely have been murdered if Jimmy Smith and Jalil Brown were still playing
     
  26. CsquaredCC

    CsquaredCC Well-Known Member

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    I think your MWC predictions look pretty good. However, I do think Boise State gets snake bit and loses one conference game this season.
     
  27. Unleash Hell

    Unleash Hell Well-Known Member

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    ohhhhh is someone upset that their team wont be the best team in the state of Washington next year?

    Hey pal, did you enjoy your 0-12 season a couple years ago? At least CU hasn't gotten that bad!:lol:
     
  28. CsquaredCC

    CsquaredCC Well-Known Member

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    I agree I don't think CSU wins 6 games this season, but I do think CSU will have the best running game in the league this year and will start a QB who moves the pocket well. Could be enough to stay competetive in a lot of games this season, which is not something you could say over the last three years.
     
  29. Shldr2Shldr

    Shldr2Shldr Club Member Club Member

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    I can't wait to get UW in folsom this year. I am hoping for a little payback. By that time our freshman are not freshman anymore, we should be playing some good football this late in the season. Plus I think Embo can find some extra motivation for beating the puppies.
     
  30. Heywood

    Heywood The actual El Guapo Club Member

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    Did he really get banned for this? I looked for the Island finish to the banning but saw nothing.
     

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