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Official Game Thread: CU vs Harvard, 230 PM

Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Quattro, Nov 24, 2013.

  1. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    KenPom has us at a 59% win%
    Vegas has us at a 75% win%
    RPI Forecast has us at a 66% win%

    I think KenPom has the odds too low on this one. First game against a quality opponent and it's on the road. CU will be the first team ranked higher than 146 by KenPom this season and this will be their first road test all year. Harvard is a good team, but where we struggle the most is one of the things they do the fewest, shoot the 3 ball. Harvard has shot 25% (#326 in D1) from 3 land and only 25% of their shots are from 3 (#303 in D1). Harvard also has a bit of a turnover problem, averaging 19.5/game (#231 in D1). CU is going to need to get in the passing lanes though, Harvard's A/FGM ratio is 57.1%, fortunately for CU gets a steal on 11.1% of defensive possessions so we've been able to get in the passing lanes. My key to victory is to not let Harvard get to the line. They shoot 76.5% from the FT line and 49.1% of their possessions end in FT's. Another plus for CU is that only 30% of defensive possessions are ending in FT's for the other team, good enough for #33 in D1.

    Other interesting factoids....

    Harvard Average Height: 76.9" (#144 in D1)
    CU Average Height: 78.2" (#20 in D1)
    Harvard Effective Height: -0.3 (#212 in D1)
    CU Effective Height: +1.8 (#71 in D1)
    Harvard Experience: 2.03 years (#70 in D1)
    CU Experience: 0.92 years (#337 in D1)

    Also, KenPom is ****ing awesome

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Nov 24, 2013
    absinthe likes this.
  2. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    Harvard was the 8th best 3pt % team last year and returned nearly all of their 3 pt shooters - they either haven't shot the ball well this year or they haven't shot many. We shouldn't count on them not being a good 3 pt shooting team today.
     
  3. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    Harvard only had three people consistently shoot the 3 last year (Chambers, Rivard, and Webster). Chambers is shooting 25% on 2 of 15 shooting this year, Rivard is shooting 36.8% on 7 of 19 shooting, and Webster is gone. Harvard has shot 54 3 balls this year which signals that they don't shoot it very much but when they have they haven't shot it well at all outside of Rivard. Why that is I have no idea. I just think in this game after looking at their stats for this year that keeping them from getting to the line is going to be key.
     
  4. jgisland

    jgisland Club Member Club Member

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    Per John Ezekowitz

    Harvard has only shot 25% from three this year despite returning 90% of the minutes from the 8th best three-point shooting team in the country last season. If Siyani Chambers and Laurent Rivard get hot from three, the Crimson will be very, very hard to stop. Harvard will win if they can shoot well, rebound defensively, and exploit Colorado's turnover issues.
     
  5. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    You guys are saying pretty much the same thing. Thanks for all the info. Can't wait for this one.
     
  6. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Harvard is ranked ahead of us, 29/30 in the polls compared to 34/37. Better be ready to play
     
  7. Buffnik

    Buffnik Real name isn't Nik Club Member Junta Member

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    They suck. We will crush them. **** Harvard.

    GO BUFFS!
     
  8. Buffellow85

    Buffellow85 Well-Known Member

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    Does Harvard play the Princeton offense or play a zone ?

    We seem to struggle to against teams who play a zone offense ( Wyoming )
     
  9. FightCu1414

    FightCu1414 Fifth year Senior Club Member

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    Gonna be a tough one
     
  10. GoonieBuff

    GoonieBuff Not really Club Member

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    Nerds suck at sports. They will be crushed.

    I hope some students show up to this one.
     
  11. whatthebuff

    whatthebuff Club Member Club Member

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    There are 2 types of people in the world: jocks and nerds. As a jock, it is my duty to give the nerds a hard time.

    Little know fact: CU held Jeremy Lin to 11 points.
     
  12. Buffellow85

    Buffellow85 Well-Known Member

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    People checking the trashcans to to make sure people are throwing trash in the right containers.
    God I love CU/Boulder
     
  13. The Ogre

    The Ogre Club Member Club Member

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    Harvard - aren't they like the Stanford of the East Coast? Go Buffs!
     
  14. Swish

    Swish Half a bubble off Club Member

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    Go Buffs. On to 6-1
     
  15. SuperBuff

    SuperBuff Club Member Club Member

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    How much of an achievement was holding Lin to 11? Were his teams decent? I honestly don't know about his college days, barely know much about him outside of his outstanding month on the Knicks.
     
  16. aik

    aik Club Member Club Member

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    VCU, you lost, now don't foul the rest of the way so the U can switch over to the real game I want to see.
     
  17. aik

    aik Club Member Club Member

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    Check that, CU game is on ESPNEWS until the other game ends!
     
  18. NYC Buff

    NYC Buff New Member

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    Is this game on TV??? Please help
     
  19. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Nice to see the early emphasis on perimeter D....not.
     
  20. sliderNcider

    sliderNcider MacLovin Club Member

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    Furk. Horrible start
     
  21. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    And it looks like they don't want to play this one either. Fantastic.
     
  22. Clean Undies

    Clean Undies Flagship of the 12-Pac Club Member

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    Harvard starts hot. CU not. 13-4 Harvard 16:45
     
  23. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Time to pull your heads out of your asses, Buffs.
     
  24. Lt.Col.FrankSlade

    Lt.Col.FrankSlade Well-Known Member

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    Ouch - not a great start, to be sure.

    Harvard has some shooters.
     
  25. aik

    aik Club Member Club Member

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    Currently on ESPNEWS. Will be on ESPNU once the game currently in progress ends in a couple minutes.
     
  26. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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  27. CVilleBuff

    CVilleBuff Club Member Club Member

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    Looks like a team that didn't listen to their coach when he told them they were playing like **** and wouldn't get away with it against a top 25 caliber Harvard squad.
     
  28. tante

    tante Club Member Club Member

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    Our student section officially sucks.
     
    Goose likes this.
  29. Quattro

    Quattro Banned BANNED Club Member

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    ****ing pathetic
     
  30. OUBuff

    OUBuff American Club Member

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    Looks like the 3 point defense is still lighting it up
     

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