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Official RPI Watch 2014-15

CVilleBuff said:
CSU beat UNC 66-58, so lambs will be bringing their 8-0 record into the Keg.
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It ends up being slightly better for us that CSU won since we will play 3 MWC teams (the opponent's opponents 25% of RPI). We also need CSU to be a Top 50 win for our resume at this point.

That CSU game is beyond huge for the Buffs right now.
 
Buffnik said:
It ends up being slightly better for us that CSU won since we will play 3 MWC teams (the opponent's opponents 25% of RPI). We also need CSU to be a Top 50 win for our resume at this point.

That CSU game is beyond huge for the Buffs right now.
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Yup. Sucks, but we need CSU to do well.

Cal down 6 at horrible Nevada at half

Oregon down 14 at home to mediocre Ole Miss.

Good grief
 
CVilleBuff said:
CSU beat UNC 66-58, so lambs will be bringing their 8-0 record into the Keg.

DePaul beat Milwaukee 83-61.

George Washington beat Charlotte 78-70
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Absolutely have to sweep the rest of the non-con home slate (CSU & UNCo), then get neutral wins against DePaul & GW to reach the Maui finals. We could lose in the final to Wichita State and that 9-3 looks like it would be enough for a bubble team if the Buffs do well in the Pac-12. Worse than 9-3 and CU is going to need a monster Pac-12 season.
 
Wyoming rolled in its meaningless game against a D2.

Oregon down 11 to Ole Miss with 4+ left.

Cal up 3 at Nevada with 2+ left.

San Fran up 10 on Houston Baptist at half.

USC down 1 to Utah State at half.
 
Cal pulled it off in the final 2 minutes, 63-56. Nevada is godawful. RPI saver for Cal

Oregon falls at home to Ole Miss 79-73.

USC tops Utah State 89-84

San Fran killed Houston Baptist 85-54

I think the Pac may very well be worse than the SEC this year.
 
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UCLA held off San Diego after trailing at the half, 75-68

Nebraska lost to Creighton, 65-55.

I'm eager to see the Washington vs SDSU game that's about to tip off on PACN.
 
Wow. Washington came to play

Actually, there's 4 mins left and SDSU is 7/48 from the field. One of those nights.
 
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Washington upsets #13 San Diego State, 49-36.

SDSU was 11/54 from the field (20 percent) and about 4 of those were late junk baskets. Just horrendous shooting.

Props to Washington. Just leaves me still wondering a bit despite the UW hype train that just left the station.
 
Monday: Sloww night

Air Force (4-3) vs UN-Omaha (3-3): I'd be a little weary if I were AFA from what little I can piece together about Omaha. Inconsistent team, but when they're at their best, they're putting up 97 at Marquette and winning. One of the highest scoring offenses in the country, over 80 ppg. If AFA doesn't keep this game at their tempo it could slip away.
 
CVilleBuff said:
Washington upsets #13 San Diego State, 49-36.

SDSU was 11/54 from the field (20 percent) and about 4 of those were late junk baskets. Just horrendous shooting.

Props to Washington. Just leaves me still wondering a bit despite the UW hype train that just left the station.
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Season appears to be UK #1 by a wide margin, with about a 100 or so teams vying for positions 2-25 !!! UM? WSU? WTF?
 
Green Bay is going to drop because I watched Georgia State beat them by 30, but they did turn around and beat Miami.
 
Tuesday:

#3 Arizona (8-0) vs Utah Valley (3-4): Self explanatory.

#11 Wichita State (5-1) vs Seton Hall (7-0): Given our play, assuming we'll be in the Diamond Head Final is dangerous. Slow night though so I'm just mentioning the Shockers because Seton Hall is improved and beat our likely DHC semi-final opponent GW by 4 at home.
 
I just updated the OP to add in all of the current RPIs of the teams on CU's schedule.

Buffs are actually at #61 right now despite not having a win over a Top 100 opponent.

Wednesday against CSU is a monster since the Rams are currently sitting at #9 in RPI.
 
Buffnik said:
I just updated the OP to add in all of the current RPIs of the teams on CU's schedule.

Buffs are actually at #61 right now despite not having a win over a Top 100 opponent.

Wednesday against CSU is a monster since the Rams are currently sitting at #9 in RPI.
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I saw the 61. Certainly encouraging, all things considered. We're not in bad shape if we can ever start taking care of business.
 
CVilleBuff said:
I saw the 61. Certainly encouraging, all things considered. We're not in bad shape if we can ever start taking care of business.
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was thinking the same thing. pleasantly surprised with 61, could be far worse.
 
Bad news is the forecast models have us at 17-11 with an rpi of 57. That is NIT bound right now. Good news is we have a lot of games left so big chances to fix that.
 
Wednesday:

Our Buffs (5-2) host Colorado State (8-0). This is about as much of a "must win" by December standards as you'll find. Buffs have wasted golden opportunities for decent wins against Georgia and Wyoming. This OOC only allows for so many chances for decent wins and CSU is the only one in the Keg. This is CSU's first true road game and first game against a power conference side, but they've defeated some halfway decent squads in UCSB (neutral court) and UTEP. Eustachy will have a solid game plan and we'll get CSU's best shot like always. We're 1/4 into the season now, it's time for CU to start proving themselves. This is a win for the resume that we are going to need. CSU has an excellent RPI and this would boost us in a nice way. A loss puts us in deep ****, to be frank. Buffs are 6 point favorites. Gotta get this one.

#13 Utah (6-1) @ BYU (7-2): Big game. Type of game you win if you truly are a top 15 side. BYU is a solid squad and will throw everything they've got at Utah. They share a common opponent, SDSU: Utah lost by 4 on the road while BYU lost by 5 in 2OT in Maui. BYU isn't stupid, being in a non-power conference they're well aware a win over Utah would be crucial for their resume. BYU is actually favored by 3.5. Tough spot for Utah between an emotional OT win over Wichita St and with Kansas visiting next.

Washington State (4-4) @ #9 Gonzaga (7-1): Pac12's worst on the road at an angry Gonzaga. This will get ugly. Only good news here is Gonzaga is strong enough to help Wazzu's RPI just by playing them

Wyoming (8-1) @ Cal (7-1): I'm intrigued by this one. Cal has looked horrible in their last 3 games, all against weak opposition. I'm sure Wyoming will be ready to play. Bears are favored by 4 here as it's a home game. If Wyoming plays like they're capable of, they can leave Berkeley with a W.

UCLA (7-2) vs UC-Riverside (5-3): Riverside is probably the worst Big West squad. Certainly one of them. UCLA should roll.
 
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BehindEnemyLines said:
So a Cal win is better for us since it would be a road loss for wyo, coupled with us playing the yogi's twice, correct?
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correct. also coupled with the "opponent's opponent component" (like saying that in my head), which Cal factors into for every other Pac-12 team we play, pushes the impact of a Cal win even higher on our RPI.
 
Cal contributes 2.70% to our RPI, Wyoming only 1.94%. We want Cal in this one and then we need to beat Cal.
 
Utah grinds out a 65-61 win at BYU. Really building up their resume. Utes will sweep this current dog**** we're fielding. Buffs better figure something out quickly.
 
Cal tops Wyoming 45-42 in Berkeley

Wazzu falls to Gonzaga 81-66 in Spokane

UCLA overcomes an 8 point deficit at half to edge UC-Riverside 77-66
 
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