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Official RPI Watch 2014-15

Thursday:

DePaul (6-1) @ George Washington (5-2): We play DePaul to start off the DHC. If we win, we probably play George Washington. DePaul, as has been discussed, is a mystery. They lost to Lehigh by 12 and beat Stanford by 15. They were picked last in a deep Big East preseason. Great opportunity to scout our opposition for what is looking like the most important few days of CU's regular season. I've seen GW first hand already. They're a one and done Big Dance type squad. They don't have great outside shooting (although they have a 6'9 frosh who can sneak out and knock down 3's if you aren't careful) , but are solid in the post. It's not a bad match up for us. Scott needs to be able to handle Kevin Larsen. Anyway, check it out and see for yourself. I know what GW brings, but I'm very curious where DePaul stands. Complete mystery right now with those weird results.

San Francisco (5-3) vs Eastern Washington (7-1): EWU is no joke. They won at Indiana and their only loss was a hard fought close game at SMU. This would be a nice win for USF. We need all the help in the world right now and this would be a big step for USF being a top 100 win. Go Dons!
 
George Washington beat DePaul 81-68. Score makes it sound closer than it was. GW was up 20 by half and put it on cruise control.
 
San Fran falls 81-76 to a really solid Eastern Washington team. Blown opportunity for USF, this would have been a nice win.

Just not getting breaks so far this year.
 
No opposition games Friday, got a lot going on so I'll put up Saturday's:

Our Buffs (5-3) host Northern Colorado (4-3): At this point, it's just about beating anyone and getting a W. This team can decide whether they want to come together and reach their potential or fall apart. It's up to them. UNC hung with Wyoming and CSU tough on the road, losing both by 8. We've got a target on us as the Pac12 program of the region. We'll get their best shot. If we don't come to play, we'll be involved in another uncomfortably close game. Just get better and win.

Drexel (2-5) vs LaSalle (4-4): Philly Big 5 rivalry. Opportunity for Drexel to get a win over an A10 squad. LaSalle is beatable and I believe Drexel sat some key guy(s) for their U of Sciences debacle, so perhaps they're not quite as awful as we think and can get a W.

Arizona State (5-3) vs Pepperdine (5-1): One of those WCC trap games. ASU has held home floor so far (5-0) despite being a mediocre squad, but Pepperdine looks better than expected and could easily pull this one off if ASU comes out sleepwalking.

#13 Utah (7-1) vs #10 Kansas (7-1) (Kansas City, MO): One of KU's infamous "neutral" games for an RPI boost. Utah has defeated Wichita State and then won at a solid BYU side in their last two. If the Utes won this, it would be remarkable. I have my doubts they can beat the Jayhawks in KC, but should they pull it off it'll be time to consider them a legitimate threat to Arizona. KU has already faced Kentucky, Michigan State, Georgetown and Florida. They're tested. I think it's asking a bit too much of Utah, personally.

Air Force (5-3) vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-7): APB is bad. One of the worst in D1. Should serve as record padding for AFA, nothing more.

Oregon State (5-2) vs Mississippi State (5-2): Mississippi State is coming off a loss at Tulane. This is a rare winnable game for the Beavs against an OOC power conference squad. MSU was picked last in the SEC preseason. Beavs need to get this W in Corvallis.

Lipscomb (3-5) @ Austin Peay (2-6): Very winnable road game for Lipscomb.

#3 Arizona (9-0) vs Michigan (6-3): This game looked somewhat appealing a week ago, then Michigan went and lost to NJIT and scored 42 in a loss to Eastern Michigan. We know the Wolverines are better than that, but very hard to see how they'd go into Tucson and win right now.

Stanford (4-2) vs Denver (4-4): Stanford's first game since losing by 15 at DePaul on Nov. 30. There will be some rust, but this would be an epic "Dawkins" if they lose. DU has shown nothing to indicate they can win at Maples.

Oregon (5-3) vs Illinois (7-2) (Chicago, IL): Illinois looks like a bubble team to me. Beating who they should and losing big to quality. Oregon just got beaten with relative ease in Eugene by Ole Miss. Don't see much hope for the Ducks here. B1G's depth should show against a weak Pac.

Cal (8-1) vs Princeton (3-7): Cal has looked mediocre to downright bad lately over their last 4 games. However, they're winning and that's what matters most, obviously. Princeton is horrible. Bears should roll.

UCLA (8-2) vs #9 Gonzaga (8-1): Huge game for UCLA and the Pac. Bruins haven't beaten anyone decent (failed in their 2 tries against UNC and Oklahoma). We know Gonzaga is a top 10ish squad. Huge opportunity for UCLA to prove themselves and show the Pac has some depth. Given how they've been playing, they'll need to step up big time if they're to knock off the Zags.

Washington State (4-5) @ Santa Clara (4-4): Pac's worst squad on the road against lower level WCC squad. Winnable road game for Wazzu, but trusting them on the road against anyone is probably a mistake.

USC (6-3) vs Army (6-2): USC has been playing better lately, winning 4 straight including a double digit win at the Pit against New Mexico. Army has been playing good ball for a service academy, but USC should win their fifth straight.
 
CVilleBuff said:
Utah falls to Kansas 63-60

ASU edges Pepperdine 81-74
Click to expand...

Always nice when the refs give you a 48-15 advantage on FT attempts for a home game. Yes - ASU shot over 1 FT per game minute in this one.

In other news, it's been a good day for CU's RPI. AFA, Lipscomb, Zona, OSU, ASU, CSU and possible opponent Ohio all won. Oregon within 3 of Illinois on the road past midway in the 2nd.
 
Very good win by Oregon at Illinois for the Pac-12.

Cal's in a battle, hosting Princeton and down 5 early in the 2nd.

Nebraska playing well against Cincinnati and up 7 in the 1st.
 
Buffnik said:
Very good win by Oregon at Illinois for the Pac-12.

Cal's in a battle, hosting Princeton and down 5 early in the 2nd.

Nebraska playing well against Cincinnati and up 7 in the 1st.
Click to expand...

Altman knows how to win on the road. Even when Oregon is mediocre, they win outside of Eugene constantly.
 
Cal figured out Princeton late to get the win. +19 in the 2nd half to win by 10.
 
UCLA lost to Gonzaga 87-74.

Wazzu falls at Santa Clara 76-67

USC falls to Army in OT, 85-77.

And Cal, ASU and Stanford won (barely) against various weaklings, Those programs are full of suck right now…don't let Cal's record fool you
 
Sunday:

George Washington (6-2) @ Penn State (9-1): Nittany Lions have been winning close game after close game against weak opposition, hence the record. GW is the strongest opponent they will have faced. Dangerous game for GW on the road because the losses will surely start piling up for PSU before long.

Wyoming (8-2) vs Montana State (3-5): Pokes squeezing in a few more cupcakes before MWC play. In fact, this is the first of 2 games against Montana St for Wyo.

DePaul (6-2) vs Illinois State (4-3): Illinois State is an average MVC team. They've played some decent teams tough (like losing to VCU by 4). This is a tough one to get a read on since DePaul makes no sense. Most likely outcome would probably be a close DePaul win.

Auburn (3-4) @ Clemson (5-3): Auburn's schedule sucks, every key OOC game is away from home. Who knows what to make of Clemson, they've lost to Winthrop, Gardner Webb and Rutgers at home, among other woeful performances. However, they are coming off a win over then #18 Arkansas and have already beaten another SEC squad in LSU. It'd be nice for Auburn to start to click, but they may be hitting Clemson at the wrong time.

#17 Washington (7-0) vs Eastern Washington (8-1): This is a sneaky tough game for UW. After their big win over SDSU, they risk a let-down. Meanwhile, EWU has won at Indiana and played tough at SMU. Washington could be in trouble if they're caught sleeping.
 
Penn State gets home cooking from basketball officials like almost nowhere else. That's going to be a tough one for GW.
 
#17 Washington overcame an 11 point halftime deficit to squeak out an 81-77 win over Eastern Washington.

Monday, slow day:

San Francisco (5-4) vs Cal Poly (3-4): Cal Poly is not good this year. Dons should win at home.

Oregon State (6-2) vs Grambling State (2-6): Grambling has yet to beat a D1 opponent. Beavs should roll.
 
I know they haven't played anyone, but Oregon State at 6-2 is amazing. Tinkle might be the first coach to win P12 Coach of the Year with an 11th place team.
 
Tuesday:

Drexel (2-6) @ Buffalo (5-2): Drexel has been a disappointment thus far. Buffalo is nothing great, but Drexel hasn't given any reason for expecting a road win against a squad from a stronger conference.

Lipscomb (4-5) @ #9 Texas (8-1): Lipscomb is going to get killed, but a road game at Texas is good for their RPI regardless.

#3 Arizona (10-0) vs Oakland (4-6): Self explanatory. Arizona has been caught sleeping a few times but should roll.

Arizona State (6-3) @ Marquette (4-4): Marquette is a little down this year, but their record is the result of a very difficult schedule (this is their 6th game against a power conference squad). ASU is 0-3 away from home this year. I expect Marquette to win.
 
ASU fell at Marquette 78-71

Texas beat Lipscomb by 45

Arizona beat Oakland by 37

Drexel fell at Buffalo by 10

Wichita St needed a late comeback to beat mediocre Alabama, 53-52.
 
Wednesday:

Northern Colorado (4-4) @ Omaha (4-5): Opportunity for a road win here for UNC. Omaha is inconsistent, but they do did put 97 on Marquette in a road win and killed MWC Nevada. However, they've also been drubbed by squads like Seattle. UNC hasn't won a road game (0-4) while Omaha hasn't lost at home (3-0). I also think this could be a major letdown game for UNC after facing CSU and CU in their past 2 games. Hope to be wrong, but I think Omaha has the edge and Vegas agrees (4 point favs).

Stanford (5-2) vs Loyola Marymount (3-5): Lost in the chaos of CU's struggles is how awful Stanford has looked lately. In their last 2 games, Stanford got killed by DePaul and had to mount a comeback and grind out a 49-43 win over Denver after trailing throughout. Luckily for Stanford, Loyola Marymount is as bad as they come by WCC standards. Loyola has been killed by ASU and USC. If Stanford struggles here and doesn't break out of this funk, it's a major red flag (and frankly Stanford has already provided a couple red flags).

Auburn (3-5) vs Winthrop (4-4): Auburn has to get this one. They've blown some winnable games lately. Winthrop has won at Clemson but they're nothing special. No excuse for Auburn not to get a W here. Still holding out hope Pearl can work some magic this season and Auburn can gain some momentum and become a mid-tier SEC squad.

#16 Washington (8-0) vs Grambling State (2-6): Huskies kept their undefeated mark alive with a comeback win to edge a sneaky tough Eastern Washington squad last time out. UW has been a pleasant surprise but having seen them 3 times I honestly don't think Washington is top 15ish good…it's a stretch and I think we'll see them drop from this colloquial high-water mark soon (not collapse), but I completely understand it for now given their record and win over SDSU. Anyway, Grambling is as bad as they come in D1 basketball. Even on a severe off-night, UW nor any power conference team would lose to Grambling. UW's big test is up next vs Oklahoma.

Oregon (6-3) vs Cal State Northridge (3-7): Oregon has been being Oregon. Got dominated by Ole Miss in Eugene and then turned around and went to Chicago and beat Illinois. Oregon is mediocre, but they're going to win their share in this weak Pac and be in the middle. Northridge is a bottom Big West squad. Ducks would have to really **** up to lose this one or even have it close.
 
Last edited:
With 5 min to play in the 1st, Washington leads Grambling 33-6.

Grambling is such a mess of an athletic department right now. I feel bad for those kids.
 
Stanford stumbled by terrible Loyola Marymount winning 67-58 in a game where the final scoreline doesn't tell the story. Stanford trailed by as much as 12 and foul shots padded the margin of victory. Stanford is Dawkins-ing HARD lately. Third game in a row Stanford has been complete ****.
 
Thursday:

San Francisco (5-5) Portland State (5-3): San Fran is coming off a disappointing loss to Cal Poly. Portland State has won at USC but appears to be a mid tier Big Sky squad. Dons should win this at home. 10 point favs.

DePaul (6-3) @ Oregon State (7-2): Interesting game. DePaul making a stop out in Pac country on their way to Diamond Head (final game before facing CU). DePaul is coming off a home loss to Illinois State, reminding us that while they may be slightly better than we thought, they still are not a good basketball team. Oregon State, meanwhile, deserves props for being 7-2. Their only losses are to power conference squads and they've been beating who they should. That OSU program is in good hands despite the long rebuild ahead. Beavs are favored by 3.5 in this one.
 
Oregon State defeated DePaul 90-59 in Corvallis. Yikes DePaul is bad.

San Francisco had an impressive 77-40 win over Portland State
 
Friday:

Lipscomb (4-6) @ Princeton (3-8): Chance for a road win here for Lipscomb. Princeton is probably a bit better than their record shows, though.

Colorado State (10-0) @ Denver (5-5): Surprised to see CSU only favored by 3. Denver did lead at Stanford for most of the game before blowing it, so perhaps they'll give CSU a fight at home.

Cal (9-1) vs Eastern Washington (8-3): Cal has been winning, but they've looked awful over this 5 game stretch scraping out narrow wins against cupcakes. Eastern Washington is a solid squad, they've won @ Indiana and lost in the final seconds at Washington. If EWU plays like they're capable of, Cal could easily lose this and it wouldn't be surprising if they don't step up.

#3 Arizona (11-0) @ UTEP (6-3): UTEP is a pretty solid team. No shame in 3 point losses to Washington on a neutral court and Colorado State in Fort Collins. Arizona is a 7 point favorite. Wouldn't shock me at all if UTEP hangs around and puts a bit of a scare into the Wildcats.
 
Lips comb got destroyed by Princeton.

CSU escaped DU with an 85-84 win.
 
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