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Game Week - TCU, Week 1 (0-0)

Ok- so I couldn't let this go and actually looked into it. I used the official Utah depth chart released this week and DNVR's projected starters for CU, comparing height and weight. Takeaways:
  • On the edges of the lines (Tackles and EDGE positions) CU compares favorably with Utah.
  • On the interior positions of the lines CU gives up a significant size advantage to Utah in terms of weight
  • Running back/LB/WR positions are a significant size advantage to Utah
  • Defensive backfield is pretty much a wash (except for Cormani, who is 165 and much smaller than all the other corners
  • Overall, CU is roughly as tall as Utah, but much lighter than Utah.
Just looking at the starting OL/DL, TCU looks to be much bigger there than CU too. :(
Listened to this long winding stupid podcast
The comment about Small is lazy
The comment about Deion not doing well at all, and this not being the job he thought is so freaking stupid
He won at Jackson State, straight up, took them to the championship
He is the head of his own CFB Franchise, that he has 100% control of and has molded it in the same way as Jackson State with better players and good rescources.
These stupid ****ers should not talk college football if they are going to be this dumb
 
TCU preview

Best pro prospects:

Josh Newton - projected day 2
andrew coker - Projected early day 3
brandon coleman - Projected early day 3

Players to keep an eye on:
Flash Robinson, Savion Washington, Willis Patrick, Emani Bailey, damonic williams, hodges, helm, and some scouts like Obiazor.

Best freshman on their squad: Cordele Russell, WR

Strengths: OL, depth, starting CBs, LBs, coaching, sound - generally will not beat themselves. This is something SD brought to TCU.

Weaknesses: QB under pressure and throwing in tight windows, lack of premium skill position players, overaggressive safeties who lack discipline.

OL is the best position group.

WR is the position group their fans are high but I am not. Listening to their coaches, I have red flags. The biggest is no #1 option and that's massive as Q really did a good job of getting good coverage looks making it easier for other players.

I am not the highest on their TE room, while they love Wiley, he's lacks too much fluidty for me in the modern game.

I am higher on Morris than most overall as a QB but lower on him than TCU fans. I honestly would say I am inline with Briles on him. He should do well in this scheme. It fits but he has to be able to make plays, if not, some defenses will crush you.

TCU is a deep team. Not many clear flaws outside of coverage issues, weak pass rush, and lack of studs at skill positions. I do believe overall the move to pace with Morris will favor them overall. I expect them to compete for the Big XII title this year.
Morris - not build anywhere near RGIII or KJ Jefferson and those dudes almost got killed in the Briles offense. Morris will die.
 
Average OL is 6'-4" 302lb nationwide at the FBS level.

Colorado is listed an average of 6'-4" 296lbs.

Average FBS DL: 6'-3" 270lbs
Average CU DL: 6'-3" 277lbs

Harder to find info broken down like that and I am not going through other rosters.

What I did find indicates maybe 6'-5", 280lb but nothing "conclusive"

I didn't go through the entire roster, just the starters, so my numbers are a bit different than yours for CU OL/DL

Just because I had the data handy I decided to indulge @CUAviator :

Average CU Starting OL: 6'5", 301
Average UU Starting OL: 6'4", 311
Average TCU Starting OL: 6'5", 330 (not a typo)

Average CU Starting DL: 6'3", 271
Average UU Starting DL: 6'4", 279
Average TCU Starting DL: 6'3", 296 (if you just include their 3 down linemen; they play a 3-3-5)
Average TCU Starting DL: 6'3" 278 (if you include their Rush LB)

To be clear, I agree with @Da Lama that this doesn't necessarily mean bad things for CU all season because of the way that the college game has evolved, but as @Buffnik points out, the defense and especially the interior DL/LBs seem built to play against the pass. CU could be in trouble if they run into a team that can play with a lead and wants to run it in between the tackles.
 
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I'm finding that I'm trying to keep my emotions in check for this weekend and have come up with the following expectations:

TCU wins by > 10 over the line:
Angry Madness GIF by reactionseditor


TCU wins by < 10 over the line:
Mood Reaction GIF by HRejterzy


CU beats the line by 1-10 points and we're still in it in the 4th:
I Guess If You Say So GIF


TCU wins by single digits and the Buffs look strong:
Happy Pumped Up GIF by Universal Pictures Home Entertainment


Buffs win in a close one:
Excited Fuck Yeah GIF


Buffs win by double digits:
woooooo GIF


Buffs win is within 20 points of #1 pick's prediction:
Smoke Explosion GIF by ESA Webb Space Telescope



Unfortunately, BBS is still a thing. This weekend could go a long way to a total cure.
 
Saturday may not tell us much either way. The following two weeks are going to be better indicators IMO.
Yeah. Season openers are such a crap shoot. There are so many scenarios that could play out in this game that make it hard to predict.
 
I think this years version of TCU is nowhere near last years Cinderella story. Last time I saw their defense, Georgia put 65 on them and they lost talented starters from that squad.
The biggest drop off, in my opinion, something most folks do not talk about much - losing Garrett Riley. Riley was named the offensive coordinator at TCU in December 2021. TCU had the 9th highest scoring offense in the 2022 season with 38.8 pts/game. He was awarded the 2022 Broyles Award for the top Asst Coach in college football. Riley is now at Clemson, I expect the TCU offense to plummet without Riley.
TCU did okay in the portal and has some depth but does not have the front end talent last years team had and losing Riley will be huge.

CU by 30+
 
My god people, we can drink a glass of kool-aid, but let's not guzzle the entire jug. TCU is a good team and at home. There's a good possibility of a loss here. That said, we have a puncher's chance and there's no way this game doesn't stay within 2 scores either way.
 
My god people, we can drink a glass of kool-Aid, but let's not guzzle the entire jug. TCU is a good team and at home. There's a good possibility of a loss here. That said, we have a puncher's chance and there's no way this game doesn't stay within 2 scores either way.
Are you serious? If I make a jug of Kool-Aid, I am drinking all of it. Sometimes guzzling. Who stops at one glass? Are you the parent who gives their child dry, hard cucumber bread as a treat? Drink that sugar laced Kool-Aid until the wheels fall off.

I stand behind TCU not being the same without Riley. He is special. Remember when CU hired a HC from Boise State when it was really the Coordinator mainly responsible for their success?
 
Given the number of plays we will have at altitude, being 6-7 lbs. lighter than everyone else is really valuable.
I'm about as bright as the typical CU grad: when you are at altitude, with less atmospheric pressure, don't you weigh a little less? Very little?
 
I'm about as bright as the typical CU grad: when you are at altitude, with less atmospheric pressure, don't you weigh a little less? Very little?
Weight has nothing to do with atmospheric pressure.
In science and engineering, the weight of an object is the force acting on the object due to acceleration or gravity.

The difference in gravity at altitude is minuscule.


IMG_0092.jpeg
 
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I'm not sure if anyone else here listens to the Shutdown Fullcast podcast, but their episode last week was "Bold 2023 predictions" that were sent in by listeners.

This one made the cut for them to discuss.



They decided that it's probable to happen. To be extremely clear, SDSU plays only two games against P12 competition this year: home vs. UCLA (which the fullcast crew decided would be a win) and @ Oregon State (which they decided to be a loss).

Among other choice quotes: "They got better... but they are SMALL. Their fight video looked like it was shot at a HS practice. I'm afraid of what a team like Utah could do to them."

Now I really want CU to start proving people wrong beginning Saturday.

I listened to that podcast on my way home from NJ last night. I wish I didn't. They were childish.

They have a lot of jokes and they laugh a lot. If you don't listen to them all of the time, you probably don't understand a lot of what they are saying.

Even my 15 year old son said that this podcast doesn't resonate with him either. They spend about 15 minutes blaming the internet for issues related to what medium you can find them on this weekend. The female decides that cursing is a good idea about 40 minutes in to make her point. It was childish.
 
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