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2023 CFB Predictions/Gambling Thread

Not going to grab this until tomorrow afternoon-but I love LSU at up to a touchdown against Florida State tomorrow.
 
#1 pick said:
Very serious

Five reasons

1. Chandler Morris - doesn't handle pressure well and struggles at throwing in tight windows. This defense will punish you for that.

2. TCU Secondary - While CB1 is of quality, CB2 and CB3 can be overly aggressive and break contain. That's a sign for disaster against Shedeur Sanders. Two of the two he clobbered at HBCUs was two of the best teams in FAMU and Alabama A&M. Both teams CBs were overly aggressive while is similar to Colorado under Prime but of course, tight window throws are Shedeur's strength.

3. TCU pass rush - While I don't expect them to be bad this year, without Winters, they really don't have more than a specialist like D'Abreu. Those don't work against Prime's OL. They will have to get exotic. In the 3-3-5, that's not easy to do when you already have to deal with the 4 WRs CU has and Harrison in the seams and flats.

4. Pace - both teams are expected extremely aggressive with pace considering their OCs and personnel. Because of this, you will get an old Big XII feel but CU has an aggressive ACC/SEC style on defense. Games like this comes down to talent and studs, not depth and especially not depth in week 1. This would be a much better matchup for TCU in week 10 as they are deeper than week 1.

5. Mindset - CU is coming in with this, they think we are ass mindset while having more talent than TCU. It's one thing for Nichols State to have that mindset but CU is a legit team with potential studs all over the place.

TCU has to come in with the mindset they had against Michigan but they won't because they are playing a team everyone expects to be a cakewalk in their own fanbase. They will come in like this is a game to show America the NC game wasn't a reflection of who they are. I honestly think, they must have a this team is better mindset and that's just to keep it closer than a massive blowout.

I don't like the matchup for TCU and the timing couldn't be worse. That said, I think this is a good TCU team, more deep than last year and they definitely have more confidence based on what I've seen from their daily press conferences as players.

The only players I don't believe is underestimating Bud Clark and Willis Patrick. The rest are looking at this like a tune up game and that's the worst way you can look at a game against a team that's has a lot more studs than you. I honestly feel this could be worse than this score. I really do for TCU. I just don't think it's indictive of CU this year or TCU. Just a bad matchup and bad timing for TCU. Not having reliable gametape on CU is a disaster for game planning. Dykes already scared me when he said we are basically going to be like we are playing against ourselves and keep mistakes to a minimum. They could keep mistakes to a minimum and get killed.
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I was massively wrong about the results but right about the reasons why we would win
 
I listen to VSiN daily and I can’t wait for Monday to hear them eat crow. Couple of shows are just Monday-Friday. Great win today.
 
I got on draft kings specifically for this game. Put $20 on the money line and $100 bonus bet on the spread, wish now I would have swapped those. Got lucky on some random baseball parlay and now sitting up $524. Blew the rest of my bonus bets on other parlays. Think I should retire now, quit while I am ahead.
 
AeroBuff99 said:
I got on draft kings specifically for this game. Put $20 on the money line and $100 bonus bet on the spread, wish now I would have swapped those. Got lucky on some random baseball parlay and now sitting up $524. Blew the rest of my bonus bets on other parlays. Think I should retire now, quit while I am ahead.
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I've seen some large hits on that money line today
 
Made a cool $300 today off the CU spread cover + moneyline. Fully ready to recklessly bet that money until @manhattanbuff decides to drop a goody or two for the year!
 
AeroBuff99 said:
I got on draft kings specifically for this game. Put $20 on the money line and $100 bonus bet on the spread, wish now I would have swapped those. Got lucky on some random baseball parlay and now sitting up $524. Blew the rest of my bonus bets on other parlays. Think I should retire now, quit while I am ahead.
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Go to the nfl survivor pool and throw 10$ in
 
Anyone bet the OSU-SJSU game?

I liked OSU at -14.5, but didn't pull the trigger because I didn't think SJSU looked bad against USC last week and I was nervous about the weeks 1-2 improvement jump that often happens. Figure that OSU will wear them down late, though.
 
Buffnik said:
Anyone bet the OSU-SJSU game?

I liked OSU at -14.5, but didn't pull the trigger because I didn't think SJSU looked bad against USC last week and I was nervous about the weeks 1-2 improvement jump that often happens. Figure that OSU will wear them down late, though.
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I actually went SJSU and took the points. I'm not sold on DJ U.
 
ahoelsken said:
I actually went SJSU and took the points. I'm not sold on DJ U.
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I have a lot of faith in Smith and Lindgren. They aren’t going to ask too much of DJ. Then again, I am biased (daughter is at OSU) and I don’t have any money on the game.
 
Whew 😥. Garbage time TD by SJSU got me to the over on that game along with the Beavs win netted me $21.50 on the SGP 💰💰💰.

Watch out @manhattanbuff I am on a roll. 🤣🤣🤣

Seriously I should stop, but not until after my 3 game parlay on OSU, LSU, and Clemson to cover. Got $10 big ones riding on that.
 
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