Discussion in 'Colorado Basketball Message Board' started by Goose, Nov 2, 2015.
I said NIT because I can't get last season's defense out of my head.
I am torn, i think we win 20, just not sure if its the right 20 to get us dancing.
I think this version comes out hungry. 10 seed in the the dance.
With what I am hearing of getting back to Tadball, tough D and minimizing TOs, I am going to say we surprise everyone and go dancing. The pieces are there and we will see how the team performs but I am optimistic.
NIT. Last season was ugly and XJ is out. I really like Scott, but I think he is overrated by most buffs fans. Unless the new guys can bring some shot-creating ability, I think we struggle.
NIT. Have my doubts that the guard play will be consistent enough to get us over the hump this year. Be glad to eat some crow, though.
Josh picks up where he left off at the end of last season, avoids back trouble, and CU heads back to the dance.
Fortune proves to be a key addition.
It is all up for Fortune and Dom. If they perform like we all think I would predict a bubble team.
Team stays healthy? 10-11 seed. RPI & SOS will be strongly in our favor this yr. P12 too top heavy now to see them climb higher than a 10 seed.
November is here! I want to be optimistic but the Buffs need a lot of things to go their way. It won't be impossible but here are some of the things I will look for in the early-going to determine if this team can dance:
Is Josh Scott healthy and confident?
Is our team defense in sync, can we defend the three?
Can one of the starting guards (Dom/Fortune) take over in the clutch or when the offense stagnates?
With the XJ out, can the King/Fletcher/Miller three-headed monster turn into a third reliable scorer (After Scott, Fortune)?
Is Gordon more aggressive with his offense?
Do we run effective inbound plays?
Who's going to take over the Beau Gamble sideline pump-up guy role or the Ben Mills crowd favorite role? (No one filled these voids last year and both of those guys went to a lot of tournaments)
IMO, we need the team defense and Josh Scott question to go our way along with a few of the others in order to have a realistic shot at the tournament.
I actually like the balance of our team better this year compared to last year. There were a lot of things to love about Askia, but it is hard to win consistently when the majority of your team's offense comes from an inefficient, under-sized two guard. I'm also hoping Tad learned some things this Summer working with Team USA at the Pan-AM games. We need to get back to Tadball.
Tourney, because we should expect CU to be tourney caliber every year. The key will be guard play and of course that's up in the air right now.
I really expect us to be dancing this year, assuming relatively good health. The bad injury to XJ has already happened, it would be nice for the top 8 rotation guys to only miss a few games here and there from knicks and bruises.
As has been rehashed over and over, a lot rests on Dom and to a little bit lesser extent Fortune. I believe they play well enough to be dancing in March. We know what Josh will give us when healthy. Wes need to continue to dominate on defense, and take what offense comes to him. I don't understand the train of thought out there that says Wes needs to be a force on offense for this team to be good. Would I like to see a little more assertion on offense from him? Sure. But this team can be successful with Wes scoring 6-8 points a game off of Offensive rebounds and running the floor as long he does his thing on the defensive end.
NIT until we have some proof our guards don't suck. Sorry Goose.
No offense to me. I'm not one of those guards so I won't be calling you out on twitter.
I went NIT. Too many setbacks, too much turmoil even among teammates if I recall correctly. When I hear that has all passed then I will be more optimistic.
Man, I hate it when I agree, word for word, with anything Snow posts... But, this
Leftover Kool-Aid from August still cool and refreshing .... NCAA baby!!!
Is this year's team going to be more successful than 2014-15's 15-17 (7-11) [+ 1-1 in the Pac-12 tourney] CBI squad? I absolutely believe so. Last year was the basement in terms of how much could go wrong within a season (suspensions, injuries, chemistry) and they'll be much better than that. Tad knows what he's doing and one bad season doesn't change that.
13 non-conference games. I'd mark 7 as extremely probable wins and 6 (sort of neutral vs ISU, @Auburn, @CSU, BYU, neutral vs PSU, neutral Kent/SMU) as games I could see the Buffs losing. Let's be somewhat conservative and say they go 3-3 in those to finish the non-conference at 10-3.
10-3 non-conference plus a small step forward in Pac-12 play to 8-10 gets us to 18-13. NIT season unless the Buffs win the Pac-12 tourney.
But make that 11-2 non-conference plus 9-9 in the Pac-12 and now we're looking at 20-11. That's an NCAA team, possibly needing 1 win in the P12T to get there.
I see the latter and wouldn't be surprised to see a better performance than that. So I voted NCAA Tournament.
I dunno where I'm at with how the team will finish, but I think if may be close to panic button time for recruiting. Have we just decided its impossible to recruit 4 stars here?
I'm being mentally cautious. I was high aamf last year and was tortured by the season, so I'm lowering expectations and hoping to be pleasantly surprised.
The good news is the home schedule works very well with my work schedule and I only have two conflicts (PSU and WSU), but I might be able to work around that. The Dark Horse should be happy about this.
For the football season, I expected 5 wins, but in the preseason prediction thread, I "predicted" (based on more hopeful optimistic thought) 8 wins.
For this bball season, I expect NIT and being last 8 out of the dance, but I "predict" NCAA and out after first weekend. However, I do think there is more validity to my optimism for the bball team than the football team. I too think Scott is overrated by Buffs fans, but of course I still think he's good. The fact that Tory has improved has me excited, because I think he can be a great asset on the court. I also think Gordon's ceiling is higher than probably most of you, perhaps unrealistically.
The main reason I have a lot of hope for NCAA is addition by subtraction. I really respect Ski and his guts on the court, but the team sucked with him with the ball. I just can't stand watching guys hog the ball like AI without AI's game to go with it. Then you read all these whispers of team chemistry, and I imagine part of it had to do with the offense. I was really looking forward to seeing Dom spread the ball around, and XJ, who I again probably like more than most, fill in the scoring void left by Ski. I guess now Fortune and perhaps King have to step up more now. I think they can, and Boyle can coach. NIT at a minimum, NCAA as an attainable but lofty goal, and S16 as a great ceiling if hit.
Is the Dark Horse a publicly traded company? If so, I am buying a bunch of shares based on your plans.
A lot of unknowns with this team, so I'm trying to temper my expectations. Voted NIT but would really love to be wrong here. Counting down to next Friday.
Nah, bitch, google that; don't ask me.
I say the NCAA Tournament Josh Scott is back to is normal self just have to see if Dom has improved like at the end of last season. If he is the same as last season probably NIT
NIT. But the difference between the NIT and NCAA may be a matter of a couple of games. So who knows?
With the failure of recruiting the last few seasons I really hope they get to the NCAA this year because we may be looking a dry spell after this year.
I'll say NIT if Scott stays healthy. We're being out recruited by just about every PAC school and unless you have a dominant PG the ceiling is capped. Tad needs to find his next Mayor ASAP.
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