In the interest of looking forward instead of backwards, I'd be interested to hear what everyone's expectations are for the rest of the season since this coming weekend marks the halfway mark of the regular season.
Like many, I had UW and @UCLA in the "likely loss" column to start the season, but I have to admit I was a bit hopeful after seeing early-season UCLA that the Buffs could sneak out of California with a victory.
I also posted this in another thread, here are the preseason projections from BillC's preview:
2017 Schedule & Projection Factors
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[/TBODY]Out of the remaining opponents, I would say WSU looks a lot better than their projection, Arizona and Utah look a little better than projected, USC and Cal look a little worse than projected, and OSU looks a lot worse than projected.
I would say that my forecast would be
Like many, I had UW and @UCLA in the "likely loss" column to start the season, but I have to admit I was a bit hopeful after seeing early-season UCLA that the Buffs could sneak out of California with a victory.
I also posted this in another thread, here are the preseason projections from BillC's preview:
2017 Schedule & Projection Factors
Date | Opponent | Proj. S&P+ Rk | Proj. Margin | Win Probability |
1-Sep | vs. Colorado State | 43 | -1.1 | 48% |
9-Sep | Texas State | 129 | 29.0 | 95% |
16-Sep | Northern Colorado | NR | 28.3 | 95% |
23-Sep | Washington | 13 | -11.4 | 25% |
30-Sep | at UCLA | 34 | -5.8 | 37% |
7-Oct | Arizona | 68 | 5.0 | 61% |
14-Oct | at Oregon State | 54 | -2.0 | 45% |
21-Oct | at Washington State | 40 | -4.6 | 40% |
28-Oct | California | 55 | 3.2 | 57% |
4-Nov | at Arizona State | 58 | -1.7 | 46% |
11-Nov | USC | 7 | -15.3 | 19% |
25-Nov | at Utah | 45 | -3.4 | 42% |
I would say that my forecast would be
- Likely wins against UofA, @OSU, and Cal
- Toss up @ASU (yes, they are bad, but CU seems to be snakebit in the desert)
- Likely losses vs. USC and @Utah, but I am more hopeful on both those games than I was at the start of the season. I think @WSU is a bad matchup for CU and likely a loss.