Advanced Stats and CU - 2016 Edition

[ZandiBuff]

Stat that caught my eye:

Our highest chance of winning remaining is on the road. That is scary.

 

[ZandiBuff]

Also, how far will Oregon and Cal fall once the preseason completely falls out (S&P) ?

 

[J.R. Ewing]

Phil Steele's Highest Games Grades (according to his algorithm)

He didn't do week 1
Week 2 - CU at #18
Week 3 - no CU
Week 4 - CU at #9
Week 5 - CU at #5
Week 6 - no CU
Week 7 - CU at #4

 

[J.R. Ewing]

Updated stats. We're given a 73% - 79% chance of winning in each of our remaining games.

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/pages/2016-colorado-advanced-statistical-profile

 

[Shldr2Shldr]

Updated stats. We're given a 73% - 79% chance of winning in each of our remaining games.

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/pages/2016-colorado-advanced-statistical-profile

 

[Denver_sc]

Updated stats. We're given a 73% - 79% chance of winning in each of our remaining games.

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/pages/2016-colorado-advanced-statistical-profile

I think I'm going to have to call my doctor in 4 hours.

 

[Darth Snow]

Updated stats. We're given a 73% - 79% chance of winning in each of our remaining games.

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/pages/2016-colorado-advanced-statistical-profile

passing offense is "all" the way down to #4 after the last two weeks. but the rushing offense has improved considerably. And oh yea, that defense... damn.



Oh yea, damn.

 

[Darth Snow]

passing offense is "all" the way down to #4 after the last two weeks. but the rushing offense has improved considerably. And oh yea, that defense... damn.



Oh yea, damn.

oh, and Michigan's O isn't that great, but their D is playing at historic levels.
Points CU put up against Michigan: 28.
Points six other teams have put up against michigan, combined: 42.

 

[lvbuff]

I think I'm going to have to call my doctor in 4 hours.

Gotta get off the Viagra

 

[J.R. Ewing]

passing offense is "all" the way down to #4 after the last two weeks. but the rushing offense has improved considerably. And oh yea, that defense... damn.



Oh yea, damn.

My gosh bailer has played an absurdly easy schedule. Their second toughest game so far is probably a home game against SMU.

 

[Uncle Ken]

Gotta get off the Viagra

Yes. That was the joke. See, he's really excited.

 

[Uncle Ken]

oh, and Michigan's O isn't that great, but their D is playing at historic levels.
Points CU put up against Michigan: 28.
Points six other teams have put up against michigan, combined: 42.

In three quarters with our starting QB.

Though one of those TDs was a defensive score.

 

[El Gringo]

Yes. That was the joke. See, he's really excited.

Is it time to change "UBL" to "LVB"?

 

[The Alabaster Yak]

Is it time to change "UBL" to "LVB"?

I feel Miami is the more consistent culprit

 

[Darth Snow]

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/20...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

this is beautiful. FYI, #17 now that preseason expectations are out.

2016 S&P+ rankings, preseason through Week 8

Team	Record	Preseason	After 1	After 2	After 3	After 4	After 5	After 6	After 7	After 8
Michigan	7-0	6	4	4	1	2	3	2	1	1
Louisville	6-1	18	14	14	8	4	5	5	5	2
Alabama	8-0	1	1	1	2	3	2	1	2	3
Clemson	7-0	2	2	2	6	5	4	4	4	4
Ohio State	6-1	11	9	7	5	1	1	3	3	5
Washington	7-0	10	11	9	4	11	6	7	6	6
Auburn	5-2	25	23	24	22	26	17	12	8	7
LSU	5-2	3	3	3	3	19	9	8	7	8
Florida	5-1	20	20	16	9	7	8	10	9	9
Wisconsin	5-2	36	33	29	20	16	18	25	13	10
Baylor	6-0	19	18	15	14	12	15	16	14	11
Virginia Tech	5-2	33	31	37	24	14	14	19	16	12
Oklahoma	5-2	4	6	5	7	21	12	6	12	13
Florida State	5-2	5	5	6	10	13	13	9	15	14
Texas A&M	6-1	23	27	21	19	10	11	13	11	15
Penn State	5-2	28	26	26	28	44	38	17	20	16
Colorado	6-2	86	82	75	67	43	31	34	19	17
Boise State	7-0	37	40	41	34	18	22	26	22	18
Ole Miss	3-4	7	8	8	11	8	7	11	10	19
USC	4-3	9	10	11	16	34	21	18	23	20
West Virginia	6-0	35	34	40	40	48	47	49	24	21
Nebraska	7-0	27	28	25	29	23	23	24	21	22
Miami-FL	4-3	31	35	33	15	6	10	14	17	23
Western Michigan	8-0	63	69	62	60	59	48	61	28	24
San Diego State	6-1	50	46	46	47	50	59	42	31	25

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[TDforTD]

Lol ****ing Nebraska.

 

[FlatironsBuff]

Gotta get off the Buffagra

FIFY

 

[BuffNut99]

This weird Reddit stat-average ranking system has us at #3 behind Michigan and Bama:

New rank	Team	scoring O	rushing O	passing O	scoring D	rushing D	passing D	turnover margin	penalty yards	Sagarin SOS	AVG RANK
1	Michigan Michigan	3	13	72	1	2	1	12	18	50	19.1
2	Alabama Alabama	6	8	66	6	1	32	33	39	11	22.4
3	Colorado Colorado	38	35	33	20	41	22	5	19	22	26.1
4	Washington Washington	2	23	34	8	61	9	1	25	85	27.6
5	Ohio State Ohio State	5	6	77	5	22	4	8	92	40	28.8
6	Auburn Auburn	27	3	95	3	28	28	51	6	19	28.9
7	Western Michigan Western Michigan	10	20	46	17	32	54	2	29	95	33.9
8	Louisville Louisville	1	4	13	29	18	17	68	124	42	35.1
9	LSU LSU	55	17	96	7	5	30	54	37	21	35.8
10	Virginia Tech Virginia Tech	26	41	58	14	10	51	54	34	49	37.4

[TBODY] [/TBODY]
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[Darth Snow]

I can't make heads or tails of that Reddit system (I think he ****ed up somewhere), but I like it.

 

[89BUFF89]

Thank Goodness Kicking isn't part of these metrics. And **** Bailer

 

[Bufffan68]

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/20...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

this is beautiful. FYI, #17 now that preseason expectations are out.

#17 makes more sense to me than #23.

 

[J.R. Ewing]

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/20...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

this is beautiful. FYI, #17 now that preseason expectations are out.

We're still 17 after Stanford. Stanford was our second worst game of the year too.

 

[somebody]

I can't make heads or tails of that Reddit system (I think he ****ed up somewhere), but I like it.

Weighting a bunch of categories evenly and ranking by the average is okay, but they should be somewhat related, such as offense ranks and defense ranks and turnover ranks. Really weird to include Sagarin SOS with on-the-field performance stats and on-the-field performance rankings.

 

[MiamiBuffs]

Here is a good stat...

Forced Fumbles
Last updated - October 24, 2016 Through games of October 22, 2016

RANK	NAME	TEAM	CL	POSITION	G	FF	FFPG
1	Jimmie Gilbert	Colorado	Sr.	DL	8	5	.63
2	James Hearns	Louisville	Jr.	DB	7	4	.57
-	Micah Kiser	Virginia	Jr.	LB	7	4	.57
-	Harold Landry	Boston College	Jr.	DL	7	4	.57
5	Rodney Allen	Marshall	Jr.	DB	6	3	.50

[TBODY] [/TBODY]
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[married2abuff]

Yet another stat for the year. Points allowed is perhaps the best defensive stat to have.
EDIT: Considering we gave up 38 to UO, this is an amazing number. The following games were 6, 21, 16, and 5.

 

[Darth Snow]

Yet another stat for the year. Points allowed is perhaps the best defensive stat to have.
EDIT: Considering we gave up 38 to UO, this is an amazing number. The following games were 6, 21, 16, and 5.

Only one team left to play on that list...

 

[J.R. Ewing]

Yet another stat for the year. Points allowed is perhaps the best defensive stat to have.
EDIT: Considering we gave up 38 to UO, this is an amazing number. The following games were 6, 21, 16, and 5.

Oregon is giving up 53.5 ppg in conf. That's Embree bad.

 

[BuffUp]

nm

 

[Bufffan68]

Oregon is giving up 53.5 ppg in conf. That's Embree bad.

He's toast

 

[BuffUp]

re watching the CU vs stanford game and just realized, stanfords lone score field goal was on the 2nd drive of the game. INCREDIBLE