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RPI Watch: 2018 Season
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
Not sure yet. I think we want UA, ASU, USC and UCLA to win enough to be pretty certain bids for the tourney. And then we want CU to be right there above the other 7 teams.
Wasn't sure where to post this but Dickie V showing some love for the Buffs.
Buffs Basketball Fan
Well-Known Member
Shock of the week - CU beats 2 top 15 teams back to back.
He is all about the ACC. NC State beat Duke last year so not shocking they won this year.
He is all about the ACC. NC State beat Duke last year so not shocking they won this year.
On the positive side for the resume:
South Dakota State is balling and is at #63 (surprising Column 2 home win).
Northern Colorado continues to play well and is at #108.
Drake made a big jump to #134.
San Diego is now #91 and looks solid.
Hurting the resume:
Iowa hasn't won in the B1G and is down to #167.
Mercer's only at #201 (we need them at least Top 200 to be a Column 3 win).
New Mexico and CSU aren't doing much and are at #214 & #165, respectively. We need UNM Top 160 and CSU Top 135.
South Dakota State is balling and is at #63 (surprising Column 2 home win).
Northern Colorado continues to play well and is at #108.
Drake made a big jump to #134.
San Diego is now #91 and looks solid.
Hurting the resume:
Iowa hasn't won in the B1G and is down to #167.
Mercer's only at #201 (we need them at least Top 200 to be a Column 3 win).
New Mexico and CSU aren't doing much and are at #214 & #165, respectively. We need UNM Top 160 and CSU Top 135.
USD is a really solid team. They're gonna make some noise in the WCC. Iowa isn't great, but they've also played a surprisingly hard conference schedule
It's not RPI so it doesn't count, but it's interesting to note that CU is 3-1 in "Tier A" games on KenPom (top 50 opponent adjusting for location of game) and 0-2 against "Tier B" (Oregon St and Iowa - top 100 opponent adjusting for location). Only two of our losses are outside of the top 100 adjustments (CSU and San Diego)
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
We deserve this team as a fanbase after this football season. They're a blast. If we can hold serve at home and sweep the Washington schools on the road (beating UW in Seattle would be just as quality a win as tonight was), we've got a hell of a case for the NCAA tournament.
would not be surprised if this year ended up a lot like 2011. A solid resume, perhaps even a really good resume, and CU just barely misses the tourney.
Tall order but doable. I'm pretty damn sure this win helped them more mentally than anything.
Buffs Basketball Fan
Well-Known Member
3-3 instead of predicted 0-6.
Great start and team continues to improve, that goes for the coaching staff as well.
English and Grier are really good at what they do and Tad doing things differently.
Makes a huge difference.
Is it enough for the casual student fanbase to pack the C-Unit, hopefully so.
Great start and team continues to improve, that goes for the coaching staff as well.
English and Grier are really good at what they do and Tad doing things differently.
Makes a huge difference.
Is it enough for the casual student fanbase to pack the C-Unit, hopefully so.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
One thing with this year compared to that one-There are going to be more bids available to the power 5. In terms of mid major leagues, isn't the West Coast the only one that will get more than just their champion in? I don't see the MWC getting more than one team, and the MVC and A-10 are likely one bid leagues.
In college basketball, its the "Power 6". Big East is elite and commands as may bids as anyone.
Beyond the P6, I think the WCC should get 2 or 3 this year, AAC should get 2 or 3, MWC has a chance at 2, and the A-10 could get to 2 even though this is about as down as I can remember seeing that league.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I misspoke-The American and Big East are major/multi-bid leagues. As far as the WCC, Gonzaga and St. Marys are obvious, with BYU and San Diego having chances to build their resumes up. The A-10 is very down, and I think the easiest way to a second bid for them is somebody other than Rhode Island winning that tournament. St Bonaventure is the only one with any sort of at large case IMO-but they have a couple ugly losses (St. Joe's and Niagara at home) and one real shot at a huge boost when Rhode Island goes there next month. In terms of the MWC...........agree.
MWC is like the A-10. They need Boise State to keep winning and to upset New Mexico in the conference tourney. Or a name program like SDSU or UNLV to catch lightening in a bottle the rest of the way to be a multi-bid league. A-10 has Rhode Island in the UNM position, but could get that 2nd bid if the Bonnies or Duquesne dominate and then pull an upset in the conference tourney or if VCU catches lightening in a bottle the rest of the way.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I agree with you on URI-they're in really good shape. The only other team in the A-10 who is in the at large discussion right now are the Bonnies IMO.
Right now, I'd agree. I was talking about how much could change with over 1/3 of the season left, though. Programs like Dayton and VCU are respected enough that pretty much running the table the rest of the way would cause folks to take note. Duquesne has a pretty great record that could get them in the conversation despite not having any quality wins in the OOC (they probably need to win the A-10 tourney and have the team they upset get an at-large).
The OP has been updated.
Buffs are now #53 RPI with some very quality wins.
This week is huge.
To start, obviously 13-7 (5-3) looks a hell of a lot easier on the eyes than 11-7 (3-3) if we're talking about the tourney bubble.
And winning 2 games against solid competition (Washington State & Washington) would bump the RPI a bit even though these are home games.
But inside the numbers with this new way of breaking down the team sheets, the Buffs have looked weak in Columns 2 & 3. Assuming the rest of the teams we've played hold to the same Columns they were in for this week, sweeping this homestand would even CU's record in Column 2 and Column 3 games -- allowing the 3-2 record in Column 1 games and no bad losses (undefeated in Column 4) to shine through more brightly.
Buffs are now #53 RPI with some very quality wins.
This week is huge.
To start, obviously 13-7 (5-3) looks a hell of a lot easier on the eyes than 11-7 (3-3) if we're talking about the tourney bubble.
And winning 2 games against solid competition (Washington State & Washington) would bump the RPI a bit even though these are home games.
But inside the numbers with this new way of breaking down the team sheets, the Buffs have looked weak in Columns 2 & 3. Assuming the rest of the teams we've played hold to the same Columns they were in for this week, sweeping this homestand would even CU's record in Column 2 and Column 3 games -- allowing the 3-2 record in Column 1 games and no bad losses (undefeated in Column 4) to shine through more brightly.
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Mercer needed OT to beat frikin Chattanooga in a home game tonight. Now 8-9 (1-3). Their season hurts our resume so much when the expectation was that they'd win about 20 and probably represent the Southern League in the NCAA Tourney.
Still, they came in at RPI 220. If they can get that into the top 200 by figuring things out and winning conference games (very realistic possibility), they would become a Column 3 win for CU. We really need that for the resume.
Still, they came in at RPI 220. If they can get that into the top 200 by figuring things out and winning conference games (very realistic possibility), they would become a Column 3 win for CU. We really need that for the resume.
Stanford winning by double digits vs ASU with under 8 minutes left.
ASU getting b.s. calls from the refs again where they jump in front of offensive players and then flop on contact (aka, the "Duke Special"). Two absolute horse**** charges called in the past few minutes against Furd that has even their fans pissed off and fairly loud.
ASU getting b.s. calls from the refs again where they jump in front of offensive players and then flop on contact (aka, the "Duke Special"). Two absolute horse**** charges called in the past few minutes against Furd that has even their fans pissed off and fairly loud.