CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
It's not Cal love, at least from me. It's the bubble being really weak.
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2013-14 CU MBB SOS Watch (OOC & Pac-12 Opponents)
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
It's not Cal love, at least from me. It's the bubble being really weak.
Nice win for Utah.
Far as I can tell, these are the scenarios for CU.
1. #3 seed: CU win, ASU loss to OSU
2. #4 seed: CU win, ASU wins against OSU
3. #5 seed: CU loses AND Utah loses to Stanford AND Washington loses to USC or UCLA
4. #6 seed: CU loses AND 1 of Utah beats Stanford or Washington beats USC and UCLA
5. #7 seed: CU loses and Utah beats Stanford AND Washington beats USC and UCLA
Far as I can tell, these are the scenarios for CU.
1. #3 seed: CU win, ASU loss to OSU
2. #4 seed: CU win, ASU wins against OSU
3. #5 seed: CU loses AND Utah loses to Stanford AND Washington loses to USC or UCLA
4. #6 seed: CU loses AND 1 of Utah beats Stanford or Washington beats USC and UCLA
5. #7 seed: CU loses and Utah beats Stanford AND Washington beats USC and UCLA
uhh, you forgot to talk about Cal.
I'm pretty sure that was built into the "CU wins / CU loses" part of the equation. :wink2:
I'm not smart enough right now to figure it out without the name.
Cal's included in the whole CU win/lose part of the scenario. I just didn't bother to put it in, because I figured everybody knows our last game is against Cal.
see above :wink2:
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Buffs' RPI is up to 28. 3rd highest in the Pac. Guess we're "Still Alive" as ESPN says.
Thursday, 3/6, games we care about:
First, here's the RPI around CU...
Memphis at Cincinnati. We want the Natti in this one. 5pm, ESPN.
Southern Miss at Tulane. Green Wave, baby! 6pm, no tv.
Arkansas State hosts UL Monroe. Arkie Lite needs win #18. 6pm, no tv.
Jackson State at Alabama A&M. Winnable. Opportunity here. 6:30pm, no tv.
Iowa at Michigan State. Crazy as it sounds, Buffs would be in position to jump ahead of Sparty if the Hawkeyes win. 7pm, ESPN.
UCSB hosts Hawaii. Important game for UCSB. Could put them in Top 100 while getting 20th win. 7pm, ESPNU.
UCLA at Washington. UCLA win would mean the Buffs can finish no lower than 5th in the Pac-12. 7pm, ESPN2.
USC at Washington State. Really doesn't matter. There's a chance a Wazzu win moves them to Top 200 without dropping USC out. 9pm, ESPNU.
First, here's the RPI around CU...
| 19 | Oklahoma | 22-8 | 0.6188 | 7 | 0.5908 | Big12 | 11-6 |
|
| 20 | Kentucky | 22-8 | 0.6180 | 10 | 0.5874 | Sec | 12-5 |
| 21 | UCLA | 22-7 | 0.6161 | 19 | 0.5765 | Pac12 | 11-5 |
|
| 22 | Saint Louis | 24-5 | 0.6147 | 70 | 0.5539 | Atl10 | 12-3 |
| 23 | Michigan St. | 22-7 | 0.6145 | 16 | 0.5782 | Big10 | 11-5 | |
|
| 24 | Gonzaga | 24-6 | 0.6120 | 92 | 0.5409 | Wcc | 15-3 |
|
| 25 | Louisville | 25-5 | 0.6107 | 90 | 0.5413 | Aac | 14-3 |
|
| 26 | Texas | 22-8 | 0.6096 | 28 | 0.5724 | Big12 | 11-6 |
| 27 | Ohio St. | 22-8 | 0.6086 | 21 | 0.5750 | Big10 | 9-8 | |
|
| 28 | Connecticut | 24-6 | 0.6078 | 72 | 0.5528 | Aac | 12-5 |
|
| 29 | Colorado | 21-9 | 0.6075 | 11 | 0.5833 | Pac12 | 10-7 |
|
| 30 | Geo. Washington | 22-7 | 0.6063 | 76 | 0.5507 | Atl10 | 10-5 |
|
| 31 | Oregon | 21-8 | 0.6033 | 38 | 0.5686 | Pac12 | 9-8 |
|
| 32 | Memphis | 21-7 | 0.6028 | 63 | 0.5566 | Aac | 11-5 |
|
| 33 | Arizona St. | 21-9 | 0.6005 | 40 | 0.5679 | Pac12 | 10-7 |
|
| 34 | St. Joseph's | 21-8 | 0.5999 | 58 | 0.5590 | Atl10 | 11-4 |
|
| 35 | Brigham Young | 20-10 | 0.5999 | 34 | 0.5704 | Wcc | 13-5 |
|
| 36 | Southern Miss | 23-5 | 0.5959 | 154 | 0.5022 | Cusa | 12-3 |
|
| 37 | Kansas St. | 20-10 | 0.5956 | 24 | 0.5739 | Big12 | 10-7 |
|
| 38 | Baylor | 18-10 | 0.5945 | 5 | 0.5927 | Big12 | 8-9 |
|
| 39 | Toledo | 24-5 | 0.5929 | 170 | 0.4965 | Midam | 13-4 |
Memphis at Cincinnati. We want the Natti in this one. 5pm, ESPN.
Southern Miss at Tulane. Green Wave, baby! 6pm, no tv.
Arkansas State hosts UL Monroe. Arkie Lite needs win #18. 6pm, no tv.
Jackson State at Alabama A&M. Winnable. Opportunity here. 6:30pm, no tv.
Iowa at Michigan State. Crazy as it sounds, Buffs would be in position to jump ahead of Sparty if the Hawkeyes win. 7pm, ESPN.
UCSB hosts Hawaii. Important game for UCSB. Could put them in Top 100 while getting 20th win. 7pm, ESPNU.
UCLA at Washington. UCLA win would mean the Buffs can finish no lower than 5th in the Pac-12. 7pm, ESPN2.
USC at Washington State. Really doesn't matter. There's a chance a Wazzu win moves them to Top 200 without dropping USC out. 9pm, ESPNU.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Thursday, 3/6, games we care about:
First, here's the RPI around CU...
19 Oklahoma 22-8 0.6188 7 0.5908 Big12 11-6 20 Kentucky 22-8 0.6180 10 0.5874 Sec 12-5 21 UCLA 22-7 0.6161 19 0.5765 Pac12 11-5 22 Saint Louis 24-5 0.6147 70 0.5539 Atl10 12-3 23 Michigan St. 22-7 0.6145 16 0.5782 Big10 11-5 24 Gonzaga 24-6 0.6120 92 0.5409 Wcc 15-3 25 Louisville 25-5 0.6107 90 0.5413 Aac 14-3 26 Texas 22-8 0.6096 28 0.5724 Big12 11-6 27 Ohio St. 22-8 0.6086 21 0.5750 Big10 9-8 28 Connecticut 24-6 0.6078 72 0.5528 Aac 12-5 29 Colorado 21-9 0.6075 11 0.5833 Pac12 10-7 30 Geo. Washington 22-7 0.6063 76 0.5507 Atl10 10-5 31 Oregon 21-8 0.6033 38 0.5686 Pac12 9-8 32 Memphis 21-7 0.6028 63 0.5566 Aac 11-5 33 Arizona St. 21-9 0.6005 40 0.5679 Pac12 10-7 34 St. Joseph's 21-8 0.5999 58 0.5590 Atl10 11-4 35 Brigham Young 20-10 0.5999 34 0.5704 Wcc 13-5 36 Southern Miss 23-5 0.5959 154 0.5022 Cusa 12-3 37 Kansas St. 20-10 0.5956 24 0.5739 Big12 10-7 38 Baylor 18-10 0.5945 5 0.5927 Big12 8-9 39 Toledo 24-5 0.5929 170 0.4965 Midam 13-4
Memphis at Cincinnati. We want the Natti in this one. 5pm, ESPN.
Southern Miss at Tulane. Green Wave, baby! 6pm, no tv.
Arkansas State hosts UL Monroe. Arkie Lite needs win #18. 6pm, no tv.
Jackson State at Alabama A&M. Winnable. Opportunity here. 6:30pm, no tv.
Iowa at Michigan State. Crazy as it sounds, Buffs would be in position to jump ahead of Sparty if the Hawkeyes win. 7pm, ESPN.
UCSB hosts Hawaii. Important game for UCSB. Could put them in Top 100 while getting 20th win. 7pm, ESPNU.
UCLA at Washington. UCLA win would mean the Buffs can finish no lower than 5th in the Pac-12. 7pm, ESPN2.
USC at Washington State. Really doesn't matter. There's a chance a Wazzu win moves them to Top 200 without dropping USC out. 9pm, ESPNU.
Does Iowa move up to a 3 seed with a win? (I'm only half joking...) :lol:
J-R-K
Well-Known Member
Wouldn't be so sure Wright comes back. Doesn't seem highly thought of by the internet mock draft community but he has length, athleticism, a diverse skill set, and the stats to back it all up-averages per game: 16 points (on 60% shooting), 7 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals.
Interesting thing from the end of the Utah game tonight, I hadn't realized that rolling an in-bounds pass (to prevent the clock from running) can count as a 5-second violation if not touched soon enough (time passer hold the ball plus time rolling). Probably something that happens all the time but is never called.
I am officially eating crow on my prior statement that CU didn't deserve to be in the Big Dance and probably wouldn't benefit from going and getting blown out in 1st game.
They now deserve to go dancing without a doubt. 21 regular season wins, victories over Kansas, Harvard, ASU, and Stanford among others are good wins. The latter, on the road, post SD, clinches it and proves to the world they belong in the dance and are not a guaranteed 1 and done.
Having said that-the team still seems to lack an identity. We got Ski as a quick penetrator and Scott as an athletic big man averaging close to a double double, but watching this team it still seems like they don't quite know who they are. When they want to they are collectively really good on D and on the boards, but they also take big stretches of games off almost. At least last night they didn't take off on the Defensive side and it helped that Stanfort was hot shooting either.
They now deserve to go dancing without a doubt. 21 regular season wins, victories over Kansas, Harvard, ASU, and Stanford among others are good wins. The latter, on the road, post SD, clinches it and proves to the world they belong in the dance and are not a guaranteed 1 and done.
Having said that-the team still seems to lack an identity. We got Ski as a quick penetrator and Scott as an athletic big man averaging close to a double double, but watching this team it still seems like they don't quite know who they are. When they want to they are collectively really good on D and on the boards, but they also take big stretches of games off almost. At least last night they didn't take off on the Defensive side and it helped that Stanfort was hot shooting either.
I actually think our half court offense looks better at times than it did pre-Spencer. We weren't immune to scoring droughts with Spencer like we saw last night either. Definitely miss Spencer's ability to get to the rim, get fouled and make his free throws. That was huge in those grind it out style games (CSU?). We also miss his 3 point shooting, defense, leadership, etc. etc.
This team is very good when XJ and Booker are playing at their best on the offensive end. We can be very frustrating to watch when those two are turning the ball over, missing shots, and missing free throws.
I still don't get how we went from a 10-seed to last 4 in and playing in Dayton between Monday and Wednesday without playing. It must have had to do with Oregon winning on Tuesday because they were listed as one of the last 4 in on Monday.
With Cal struggling Saturday's game now looks like very winnable. It would be nice to knock them out of the tournament, although I don't really understand how they're in at this point....
Since February started, the Buffs have lost a grand total of 3 games. @UCLA, vs Arizona, @Utah. The perception that the team has collapsed post-Dinwiddie is massively overstated. There was an immediate impact of losing 4 of 5. [MENTION=6714]Washington[/MENTION], vs UCLA, @Arizona, @ASU (with a win vs USC). Just about every team that will make the Dance this year had one rough patch in its season. What separates the Buffs is that there was a damn good reason. And the team has bounced back impressively even though Fletch hasn't come back and Wes hasn't been right for a month since suffering the high ankle sprain. Again - only 3 losses since the start of February.
Iowa
Record: 20-9 (9-7)
RPI: 44
SOS: 51
Vs. top 50: 4-7
Vs. top 100: 7-9
100+ losses: 0
Best win: #9 Michigan
Last 10: 5-5
Colorado
Record: 21-9 (10-7)
RPI: 32 (Pre-Stanford)
SOS: 15
Vs. top 50: 4-7
Vs. top 100: 8-9
100+ losses: 0
Best win: #2 Kansas
Last 10: 5-5
Iowa is #24 in the country and a 6[SUP]th[/SUP] seed in Lunardi’s latest bracket.
SECOBuffsFan
Active Member
I wouldn't get too upset about Lunardi...if he has us in the tourney that is a good thing (he is usually about 90%+ on who gets in), but he is horrible at seedings.
you just don't understand. the B1G is just beating each other up!
cubuffs85
Active Member
If we were the last 10th seed, it's not that big of a stretch to the play-in game. The third/fourth 11th seeds square off against each other.
I hate that conference so much.
had to listen to an ohio state fan talking about how good the B1G was last weekend. I was staying at his house, so I remained silent.
Wow, that CU/Iowa comparison is amazing. I guess that means that there is very little difference between a 6 seed and an 11 seed?
cubuffs85
Active Member
Until last night, they won every game they should've won and lost every game they should've lost I believe during that time period. They get credit in my mind for not falling apart after Spencer went down but I'm not overly impressed. They've been a good home team and a not so good road team. Also, their losses have been atleast somewhat lopsided for the most part while having many close wins.
HuskerHater
Well-Known Member
And they use this excuse for every sport.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
He didn't have us in the last four byes. It was a political move for BPI.
cubuffs85
Active Member
How many spots on the s-curve did he drop us? All I'm saying is going from a 10th to an 11th seed isn't exactly a steep drop on the surface.
scoob
Well-Known Member
And pre-injury, most of the forecasting sites had us right around 20-11. We've already beaten that by a game, and could possibly eclipse it by two. So much for the post-Dinwiddie collapse.
cubuffs85
Active Member
You mean preseason? I don't think this would've been a good season if Spencer had played given our OOC play. The consensus seemed to be that Spencer's injury cost us four losses, and that's probably fair. We probably beat UCLA/Arizona at home, Utah on the road, probably the UW game on the road as well. We probably don't beat UofA or UCLA on the road, but we clearly would've had a better shot and the ASU game on paper would've likely gone better. Yeah I hate the "if game" but I'm addressing it here since it was brought up.