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Official RPI Watch 2014-15

Not really on topic but probably not worthy of it's own thread. Four teams from non Power 5 + Big East conferences are in the Top 15 (Wichita State, Gonzaga, VCU, and San Diego State.) I predict that in the next ten years, you are going to see a slew of smaller schools drop football entirely and focus on basketball exclusively. The money is starting to get up there and it is much easier to get 10 good players instead of 60.

Schools like Creighton, UNLV, New Mexico, Dayton, and San Diego State have average attendance higher than the capacity of the CEC.
 
FLounder said:
Whose the coach of lbsu, they have been very strong for a few years now
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Dan Monson. He was the first Gonzaga hot commodity coach, bolted Gonzaga after only 2 seasons when they made Elite Eight. He then went to Minnesota and it didn't work out, only 1 Big Dance in 7 seasons. He's since been at LBSU, this is his 8th year there. They were complete **** when he took over and now they're one of the top Big West squads and never an easy out. He puts together the most brutally tough OOC schedules you'll ever see.

LBSU up 59-58 on Washington, 7:54 remaining.
 
Quick whistles in this UDub/LBSU game. Refs are letting nothing go in the paint.
 
Buffnik said:
Quick whistles in this UDub/LBSU game. Refs are letting nothing go in the paint.
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Huskies came on strong in final minutes to grind out an 80-70 W. UTEP will be a pretty good test for them, but still, meh. Washington is beating lower level teams that they should. Haven't seen anything to change my belief that Washington is about 8th in the Pac.
 
CVilleBuff said:
Huskies came on strong in final minutes to grind out an 80-70 W. UTEP will be a pretty good test for them, but still, meh. Washington is beating lower level teams that they should. Haven't seen anything to change my belief that Washington is about 8th in the Pac.
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Pac's not that good, though. They've got a team that would have finished 8th last year. Probably good for 5th or 6th this year.
 
Buffnik said:
Pac's not that good, though. They've got a team that would have finished 8th last year. Probably good for 5th or 6th this year.
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Not convinced they're better than Cal or Oregon, though (teams I see in that 6-8 range with UW). They're all close.
 
Saturday:

#9 Wichita State (3-0) vs Tulsa (3-2): We wouldn't play the Shockers unless me make the Diamond Head final. Certainly not out of the question. Tulsa has beaten Auburn comfortably but also got defeated by 15 by Oklahoma State. Tulsa isn't awful, but Shockers should roll at home.

George Washington (3-1) @ Seton Hall (4-0): Very likely we'll be facing GW in the Diamond Head semifinal. Seton Hall is supposed to be improved this year and a middle of the pack squad in a deep Big East. They're completely untested thus far, but if GW can get a road W here it would do us some good assuming we meet.

Washington State (2-3) vs Missouri State (3-2): Cougs were able to squeak out a 2 point win over lowly Rice last time out. Missouri State has been nothing special thus far (in fact, they've looked very shaky, almost losing to D2 Alaska-Anchorage However, they're most certainly a notch above Rice and are picked 3rd in the MVC behind Wichita State and Northern Iowa. A Wazzu win here would be a solid step forward and help avert complete RPI disaster for Wazzu. Don't count on it.

Wyoming (5-0) vs New Mexico State (3-3): Does Wyoming ever leave Laramie? Anyway, NMSU is a sneaky-tough opponent. They've played some difficult OOC games and had a heartbreaking 1 point loss at a solid UTEP side so their record isn't pretty. However, NMSU is a program that would compete quite well in the MWC if they ever got a chance (they're currently screwed playing in the new-look WAC). Wyoming has the advantage since they're at home, but don't be shocked if NMSU goes in and gets the W.

Arizona State (3-2) vs Colgate (1-4): Cupcake game for an ASU side coming off losses to Maryland and Alabama. After this, they've got UNLV and @ Texas A&M. Colgate's 4 losses are by a combined 21 points so maybe they aren't quite as bad as they seem. But ASU simply can't lose to Colgate, can they?

Utah (4-1) vs Alabama State (2-2): Utah's last cupcake to boost the record. Next up: #9 Wichita State, @ BYU, @ #11 Kansas, UNLV (@ Las Vegas).
 
Washington St beat Missouri State 89-84 in OT. Great win for that program given where they are.

Wyoming edges out a 78-75 win over a tough NMSU squad.
 
ShockerHoops said:
We have Utah on Wednesday. Going to be a good game. Still hopin' we meet you guys in the DH finals.
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Me too. We need to play a legitimate ranked team OOC (and beat a solid GW squad to get there). As for your game at Utah, I have no doubt the Shockers win this game at home or on a neutral court, but going on the road to Utah these days is risky business. Shockers will need to bring their "A" game to get a W.
 
Utah rolls over Alabama State

Arizona State wins a 78-71 battle against 1-5 Colgate. Bottom four in Pac are BAD.

Colorado State vs UCSB coming up from Alaska. Should be a good game.
 
Colorado State beats a pretty decent UCSB team 65-63 in Alaska after an idiot for UCSB went aggressively for a steal with 5 seconds left and a tie game.

**** CSU, but we need CSU them have a solid RPI. Unfortunately, CSU has taken the Wyoming school of OOC cream puff scheduling
 
Sunday:

Our Buffs (3-1) face Lipscomb (2-3): Buffs are favored by 15. Lipscomb is picked 3rd in the Atlantic Sun, the conference that has a solid Florida Gulf Coast side that took March Madness by storm two years ago. They've lost to Vanderbilt by 20 and have played a solid Belmont side twice, losing first by 25 and then by just 5. It seems like their defense is not their strong point. Hopefully Dom gets big minutes and we continue to work our kinks out. Buffs are favored by 15.

Stanford (4-1) @ DePaul (2-1): DePaul is our first opponent at Diamond Head and obviously we'll be facing Stanford in Pac12 play. DePaul is horrible, having just lost to Lehigh by 12. Stanford's one loss came to Duke. Stanford is only favored by 9 here since it's on the road. However, this would be an epic Dawkins fail for the ages if they fail to beat this disaster of a Blue Demon team.

USC (3-3) @ New Mexico (3-2): Lobos are a little down this year, certainly not what they were recently. They've already lost to Boston College and Texas A&M, two bottom half ACC and SEC teams. Fortunately for New Mexico, the Trojans are just plain horrendous. Hard to see USC winning at The Pit. Lobos are favored by 9.

Air Force (3-2) @ Texas Tech (3-1): Red Raiders are one of the Big XII's worst. Great opportunity for AFA to go get a road win against a power conference opponent. TT is favored by 9, but AFA is due for some 3's to fall, so you never know...

San Francisco (3-2) vs Montana (2-2): This is San Fran's last game before coming to Boulder. Montana is no pushover, one of the Big Sky's best. USF should take care of business at home, though. Favored by 9.

Drexel (1-4) vs Southern Miss (3-1): Drexel is nothing special, but they're better than their 1-4 record indicates as they've been a victim of a difficult early schedule. This is a key game for Drexel to beat an "okay" USM side. Drexel is favored by 2. They need this one.

Cal (4-1) @ Fresno State (1-5): Fresno State is bad. They've yet to beat a D1 opponent and those 5 losses involve no major conference programs. This will be their first home game this season against a D1 opponent, though. We know MWC programs get fired up when Pac teams pay a visit. Cal is only favored by 7.5 and I'm sure Fresno will scrap, but this is a game they really mustn't lose.

Oregon (3-2) vs Portland State (4-0): Portland State did win at USC by 8, but Oregon is battle-tested and far better than USC. Ducks are 15 point favorites and should win pretty comfortably.

Washington (5-0) vs UTEP (4-0) (Anaheim, CA): UTEP is no slouch and is actually a slight 1.5 point favorite to win. UTEP beat Wazzu earlier this season and a Xavier squad that'll be Dancing come March. Washington hasn't exactly been playing murderers row OOC. This will be their toughest test yet and give us a better idea of where they stand.
 
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Air Force up 32-16 in Lubbock against Texas Tech. This would be a great step forward for AFA if they can finish.
 
Can't believe Stanford is being dominated by DePaul. This is a loss that Stanford may deeply regret in March.

Edit: DePaul 87 Stanford 72. Final.

Dawkins is still Dawkins.
 
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USC wins 66-54 at New Mexico. I knew the Lobos were down, but damn.

Weird day in the Pac. Still can't get over Stanford being killed by DePaul.
 
N Colorado got a win today to push its record to 4-2 (2-2 vs D1). They'll likely lose the next 2 @ CSU and @ CU, but then have very winnable games against Omaha, Jacksonville State and a good UC Davis squad. Hopefully they'll do enough to be Top 200 RPI this year. It will help that it is playing so many tough road games regionally since those losses don't count as much against them in the calculations. Good chance they'll make some noise in the Big Sky.
 
Drexel crushed Southern Miss, 59-36. Very good win for the Dragons.

Now 2-4 with a pretty strong slate of winnable games to finish the non-con: La Salle, @ Buffalo, Penn State (neutral), Iona.
 
San Francisco whipped a solid Montana squad, 76-57. The Dons are a good rebounding team that plays with a lot of pace. Buffs need to control the glass and get out in transition on Wednesday.

San Fran will come to Boulder at 4-2 (3-2 vs D1). After its date with the Buffs, they've got a good opportunity to go into WCC play with a winning record: hosting Houston Baptist, E Washington, Cal Poly and Portland State before finishing non-con with a trip to Cleveland State.
 
Tuesday:

Georgia (3-3) @ Chattanooga (3-4): Dangerous game for UGA since it's on the road. Chattanooga is one of the favorites in the SoCon. Dawgs are favored by 8. Trap game.

#3 Arizona (6-0) vs Gardner-Webb (3-3): Not much explanation needed here. Gonzaga's visit to Tucson comes next.

Wyoming (6-0) vs Denver (3-2): Wyo favored by 10.5. DU could very well win the Summit League and Dance, but the Pokes in Laramie are a pain in the ass to beat. They've still yet to leave Laramie this season, btw.

DePaul (3-1) vs Northern Illinois (3-1): DePaul produced the major "wtf" moment of Pac basketball this year (outside of CU scoring 33) when they beat Stanford by 15 in their last game. Prior to that, they lost to Lehigh by 12. Let that sink in for a moment. Northern Illinois is an average MAC team. Has DePaul magically figured it out? Or is Dawkins just a horrendous coach? Our quest for answers starts here.
 
Not a fan of teams who don't play road games. Last I checked, NCAA games are on the road, why do coaches keep their teams at home and not test them on the road? Booo Wyoming.

UTC is a trap game and a half for UGA. UTC wins by 5 imo.
 
ShockerHoops said:
Not a fan of teams who don't play road games. Last I checked, NCAA games are on the road, why do coaches keep their teams at home and not test them on the road? Booo Wyoming.

UTC is a trap game and a half for UGA. UTC wins by 5 imo.
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We're at Georgia on Sunday at noon eastern. Really not liking the early start (10am mountain) and such a far trek east. Not a good situation for us and it's a win we need to have.
 
CVilleBuff said:
We're at Georgia on Sunday at noon eastern. Really not liking the early start (10am mountain) and such a far trek east. Not a good situation for us and it's a win we need to have.
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Agreed. Honestly, between Georgia and CSU back-to-back, I'm expecting 1-1, but hoping for 2-0.
 
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