In your scenario,Because instead of every single one of those programs being middling programs in the SEC, they would likely be the cream in a “coast to coast” conference, while also making comparable money.
Again, this is an assumption that a coast to coast conference that includes ND would also garner around $100m/school, which I think is actually fairly reasonable.
1. the risk is higher for those schools to form a new conference vs joining one of the P2. I.e. the SEC is gonna be just fine, 99%, but a new hybrid is a 50/50 .
2. The communication, legal, planning, etc.. logistics of coordinating a new conference is going to be a lot harder, more expensive and more time consuming than joining one of the P2.
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