This feeling that we drop both games in LA won’t go away. Trap.
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CU MBB Rankings/NET/KenPom/Bracketology Catch-All
- Thread starter FM-Buff
- Start date
Yeah, we've blown our margin for error by dropping some winnable road games (ASU, Cal, WSU, Utah, CSU) we were close in all of them until the end. Just one of those would have been nice. My confidence level that (a) we don't blow anymore games where we are favored, (b) beat Arizona at home, (c) pick up a game in LA is low.
This is still a really fun team but it would be a bummer to miss the tournament given the talent level and expectations.
Medford M.
Well-Known Member
Both teams aren't "good teams" but they're talent level is top four in the conference, easily.
Mostly agree, although CSU and Utah losses were more frenetic comeback attempts that made the final score closer than game really was.
UCLA is coming on, sort of. They will be playing with their sights on an NIT bid.
Clemson with a huge win at UNC last night, only their 2nd win in Chapel Hill in 62 trips there. Also their first road win over a top 5 team since the 70s
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#31 NET
#27 KenPom
Q1: 1-4
Q2: 5-2
Q3: 3-1
Q4: 7-0
H: 13-0
N: 2-1
R: 1-6
The only thing that is questionable for a Dance ticket is that our Buffs don't have a good record away from home or against teams that will be in the top 3/4 of seeds. That needs to be answered in this final month.
#27 KenPom
Q1: 1-4
Q2: 5-2
Q3: 3-1
Q4: 7-0
H: 13-0
N: 2-1
R: 1-6
The only thing that is questionable for a Dance ticket is that our Buffs don't have a good record away from home or against teams that will be in the top 3/4 of seeds. That needs to be answered in this final month.
For the doomers, I suggest you go look at the current net ratings and see all the rest of the bubble teams and their quad 1 records. The entire bubble with one or two exceptions (Seton Hall has 4) has a dearth of quad 1 wins. Beating Arizona tomorrow with all the rest of the metrics, along with injury considerations we should have from the committee for some of our very bad this year, puts us in a very strong position.
Bro. We aren't beating zona with this soft team. They beat us by 50
Bubblebuff
Bubble buff
All that matters is it’s gunna be electric on Saturday! And you’d hope we have the bigger chip on our shoulder.
jumped ship
Well-Known Member
Hadley is maybe our second most important player behind KJ? IMO he is a very tough matchup for opponents, especially since they need to put their better defenders on Cody or TDS. Love that he's shooting 45% from 3 and really picking his spots.
Not necessarily holding my breath but would love for TDS to have a big game tomorrow.
Last random thought, I agree that Tad should give Diop and Dak more leeway and room to make mistakes. I don't want any bad habits to develop now and stunt their growth.
Not necessarily holding my breath but would love for TDS to have a big game tomorrow.
Last random thought, I agree that Tad should give Diop and Dak more leeway and room to make mistakes. I don't want any bad habits to develop now and stunt their growth.
Hadley is a matchup nightmare for most teams. Opponents with a ton of height like Zona & Utah are hard for him. But, damn, when the other team tries to match him with a wing type player he bullies the hell out of them.
A couple of those bubble teams working on adding quad 1 wins. Florida is laying the beat down on Auburn, Gonzaga up 10 at Kentucky at the half. Michigan State beat Illinois.
Miami in a dog fight with North Carolina, that would be a good one for our resume.
Richmond is in first place in the A-10.
Wake, who is a right there with us in the bubble range barely avoided a quad 3 loss at home, beating NC State. Miami had a bad 2nd half and ended up losing. FSU also has a chance at a big win tonight against UVA although that currently wouldn't be a quad 1 win.
Gonzaga-UK going down to the wire
We’d beat UK at a neutral site. They’re schizophrenic and poorly coached, but what else is new? That program should be top 5 every year with the support they get.
The stakes just went up with bubble teams Florida and Gonzaga getting big wins today, Nevada witih a quad 1 win last night, and Wake at the very least didn't hurt themselves by winning a game at home that they should have won.
They have consistenly underachieved under Cal and I'll be surprised if he's still their coach next year. I just read that they have now lost 3 straight at Rupp for the first time ever.
If that happens and Tad retires, I know who's at the top of my board.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Northern Colorado handled Montana at home today.
That group as the Big Sky champs would be good news for us.
Medford M.
Well-Known Member
I still genuinely don't see the committee leaving out a CU team in the top 30 in NET and KenPom, with the potential first overall pick on their roster. 
If they lose all their remaining road games and lose the first round game of the Pac12 tourney, I could see this team with a mid to low 30s NET ranking being left out.I still genuinely don't see the committee leaving out a CU team in the top 30 in NET and KenPom, with the potential first overall pick on their roster.
Didn't think we'd drop that much losing to such a highly ranked team but I guess the fact that it was at home plus the margin of defeat. NET rankings can be weird though, I was just glancing at a few teams and some movement makes sense while others do not:
Texas A&M - climbed 9 spots after an impressive home win over Tennessee
Wake - Dropped 3 spots after a narrow home win over a mediocre NC State team
South Carolina - Dropped 2 spots after a home win over a bad Vandy team
Miss St - Climbed 9 spots after a road win over a bad Missouri team
Colorado ain’t winning the next two games.
Birch1
Well-Known Member
I wish I had any confidence in them. But the fact is we are awful on the road, and clearly not as good as we all hoped.
Tad is extremely consistent when it comes to his teams playing on the road.
Birch1
Well-Known Member
And really, injuries weren’t that bad this year, tbh.